Analytical study of a modified monkeypox virus model using Caputo-Fabrizio fractional derivatives

被引:4
作者
Ramzan, Sehrish [1 ]
Zanib, Syeda Alishwa [2 ]
Shah, Muzamil Abbas [3 ]
Abbas, Nadeem [4 ]
Shatanawi, Wasfi [4 ,5 ,6 ]
机构
[1] Govt Coll Univ, Dept Math, Faisalabad 38000, Pakistan
[2] Riphah Int Univ, Dept Math, Main Satyana Rd, Faisalabad 44000, Pakistan
[3] Richmond Amer Univ London, Dept Business, London, England
[4] Prince Sultan Univ, Coll Humanities & Sci, Dept Math & Sci, Riyadh 11586, Saudi Arabia
[5] Hashemite Univ, Fac Sci, Dept Math, POB 330127, Zarqa 13133, Jordan
[6] China Med Univ, China Med Univ Hosp, Dept Med Res, Taichung 40402, Taiwan
关键词
Monkeypox; Local stability; Sensitivity analysis; Global stability; Caputo-Fabrizio Fractional Derivative; TRANSMISSION;
D O I
10.1007/s40808-024-02115-y
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Monkeypox virus causes a zoonotic disease known as monkeypox, which poses a significant public health risk. To address this, we developed a novel mathematical model incorporating a hospital class functioning as a control measure. Our comprehensive non-linear compartmental model includes nine distinct compartments for both human and rodent populations, delineating Susceptible, Exposed, Infected, Isolated, Quarantined, Hospitalized, and Recovered humans, as well as Susceptible, Exposed, and Infected rodents. The Caputo-Fabrizio fractional derivative was employed to analyze the model. All interactions potentially leading to disease transmission within the population are accounted for. We examined the stability of the model in a disease-free state, demonstrating that the model is stable when R-0<1and unstable otherwise. Multiple simulations were conducted with various input values to explore the complex dynamics of monkeypox infection under different conditions. Our study investigates the system's dynamic behavior to develop effective disease management strategies. The dynamic behavior of the system is illustrated through numerical simulations with various input parameters, providing a critical framework for evaluating monkeypox control measures. The findings of this study are expected to contribute significantly to the understanding and management of monkeypox outbreaks.
引用
收藏
页码:6475 / 6492
页数:18
相关论文
共 26 条
[1]  
Addai Emmanuel, 2022, Healthc Anal (N Y), V2, P100114, DOI 10.1016/j.health.2022.100114
[2]   New numerical dynamics of the fractional monkeypox virus model transmission pertaining to nonsingular kernels [J].
Al Qurashi, Maysaa ;
Rashid, Saima ;
Alshehri, Ahmed M. ;
Jarad, Fahd ;
Safdar, Farhat .
MATHEMATICAL BIOSCIENCES AND ENGINEERING, 2023, 20 (01) :402-436
[3]   Natural convection flow of a fluid using Atangana and Baleanu fractional model [J].
Aman, Sidra ;
Abdeljawad, Thabet ;
Al-Mdallal, Qasem .
ADVANCES IN DIFFERENCE EQUATIONS, 2020, 2020 (01)
[4]   Non-fractional and fractional mathematical analysis and simulations for Q fever [J].
Asamoah, Joshua Kiddy K. ;
Okyere, Eric ;
Yankson, Ernest ;
Opoku, Alex Akwasi ;
Adom-Konadu, Agnes ;
Acheampong, Edward ;
Arthur, Yarhands Dissou .
CHAOS SOLITONS & FRACTALS, 2022, 156
[5]   A fractional order HIV/AIDS epidemic model with Mittag-Leffler kernel [J].
Aslam, Muhammad ;
Murtaza, Rashid ;
Abdeljawad, Thabet ;
Rahman, Ghaus ur ;
Khan, Aziz ;
Khan, Hasib ;
Gulzar, Haseena .
ADVANCES IN DIFFERENCE EQUATIONS, 2021, 2021 (01)
[6]   Stability analysis for a class of implicit fractional differential equations involving Atangana-Baleanu fractional derivative [J].
Asma ;
Shabbir, Sana ;
Shah, Kamal ;
Abdeljawad, Thabet .
ADVANCES IN DIFFERENCE EQUATIONS, 2021, 2021 (01)
[7]   A fractional-order model with time delay for tuberculosis with endogenous reactivation and exogenous reinfections [J].
Chinnathambi, Rajivganthi ;
Rihan, Fathalla A. ;
Alsakaji, Hebatallah J. .
MATHEMATICAL METHODS IN THE APPLIED SCIENCES, 2021, 44 (10) :8011-8025
[8]  
DIEKMANN O, 1990, J MATH BIOL, V28, P365
[9]   Stability analysis and optimal control strategies of a fractional-order monkeypox virus infection model [J].
El-Mesady, A. ;
Adel, Waleed ;
Elsadany, A. A. ;
Elsonbaty, Amr .
PHYSICA SCRIPTA, 2023, 98 (09)
[10]   Mathematical modeling and analysis of a novel monkeypox virus spread integrating imperfect vaccination and nonlinear incidence rates [J].
Elsonbaty, Amr ;
Adel, Waleed ;
Aldurayhim, A. ;
El-Mesady, A. .
AIN SHAMS ENGINEERING JOURNAL, 2024, 15 (03)