Challenges and the Way Forward in Demand-Forecasting Practices within the Ethiopian Public Pharmaceutical Supply Chain

被引：2
作者：
Bilal, Arebu Issa [1 ]
Bititci, Umit Sezer [2 ]
Fenta, Teferi Gedif [1 ]
机构：
[1] Addis Ababa Univ, Coll Hlth Sci, Sch Pharm, Dept Pharmaceut & Social Pharm, POB 9086, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
[2] Heriot Watt Univ, Edinburgh Business Sch, Edinburgh EH14 4AS, Scotland
来源：
PHARMACY | 2024年 / 12卷 / 03期
关键词：
challenges; data quality; finance; forecasting; workforce; GLOBAL HEALTH; DECISION-MAKING; PERSPECTIVES; INNOVATION; FRAMEWORK; BUSINESS; ISSUES; RISK;
D O I：
10.3390/pharmacy12030086
中图分类号：
R9 [药学];
学科分类号：
1007 ;
摘要：
This study delves into the challenges of pharmaceutical forecasting within the Ethiopian public pharmaceutical supply chain, which is vital for ensuring medicine availability and optimizing healthcare delivery. t It aims to identify and analyze key hindrances to pharmaceutical forecasting in Ethiopia, employing qualitative analysis through semi-structured interviews with stakeholders. Thematic analysis using NVIVO 14 software reveals challenges including finance-related constraints, workforce shortages, and data quality issues. Financial challenges arise from funding uncertainties, causing delayed procurement and stockouts. Workforce shortages hinder accurate forecasting, while data quality issues result from incomplete and untimely reporting. Recommendations include prioritizing healthcare financing, investing in workforce development, and improving data quality through technological advancements and enhanced coordination among stakeholders.
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页数：19
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