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Inference of epidemic dynamics in the COVID-19 era and beyond
被引:3
|作者:
Cori, Anne
[1
]
Kucharski, Adam
[2
]
机构:
[1] Imperial Coll London, Jameel Inst, MRC Ctr Global Infect Dis Anal, Sch Publ Hlth, London, England
[2] London Sch Hyg & Trop Med, Ctr Math Modelling Infect Dis, London, England
来源:
基金:
英国惠康基金;
英国医学研究理事会;
关键词:
Epidemics;
Modelling;
infectious diseases;
Inference;
Analytics;
INCUBATION PERIOD DISTRIBUTIONS;
TRANSMISSION DYNAMICS;
REPRODUCTION NUMBERS;
INFECTIOUS-DISEASES;
SIZE DISTRIBUTION;
SARS-COV-2;
INFLUENZA;
TIME;
IMPACT;
MODEL;
D O I:
10.1016/j.epidem.2024.100784
中图分类号:
R51 [传染病];
学科分类号:
100401 ;
摘要:
The COVID-19 pandemic demonstrated the key role that epidemiology and modelling play in analysing infectious threats and supporting decision making in real-time. Motivated by the unprecedented volume and breadth of data generated during the pandemic, we review modern opportunities for analysis to address questions that emerge during a major modern epidemic. Following the broad chronology of insights required - from understanding initial dynamics to retrospective evaluation of interventions, we describe the theoretical foundations of each approach and the underlying intuition. Through a series of case studies, we illustrate real life applications, and discuss implications for future work.
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页数:28
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