Inference of epidemic dynamics in the COVID-19 era and beyond

被引:3
|
作者
Cori, Anne [1 ]
Kucharski, Adam [2 ]
机构
[1] Imperial Coll London, Jameel Inst, MRC Ctr Global Infect Dis Anal, Sch Publ Hlth, London, England
[2] London Sch Hyg & Trop Med, Ctr Math Modelling Infect Dis, London, England
基金
英国惠康基金; 英国医学研究理事会;
关键词
Epidemics; Modelling; infectious diseases; Inference; Analytics; INCUBATION PERIOD DISTRIBUTIONS; TRANSMISSION DYNAMICS; REPRODUCTION NUMBERS; INFECTIOUS-DISEASES; SIZE DISTRIBUTION; SARS-COV-2; INFLUENZA; TIME; IMPACT; MODEL;
D O I
10.1016/j.epidem.2024.100784
中图分类号
R51 [传染病];
学科分类号
100401 ;
摘要
The COVID-19 pandemic demonstrated the key role that epidemiology and modelling play in analysing infectious threats and supporting decision making in real-time. Motivated by the unprecedented volume and breadth of data generated during the pandemic, we review modern opportunities for analysis to address questions that emerge during a major modern epidemic. Following the broad chronology of insights required - from understanding initial dynamics to retrospective evaluation of interventions, we describe the theoretical foundations of each approach and the underlying intuition. Through a series of case studies, we illustrate real life applications, and discuss implications for future work.
引用
收藏
页数:28
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