Machine learning modeling of thermally assisted biodrying process for municipal sludge

Preparation of activated carbons is an important way to utilize municipal sludge (MS) resources, while drying is a pretreatment method for making activated carbons from MS. In this study, machine learning techniques were used to develop moisture ratio (MR) and composting temperature (CT) prediction models for the thermally assisted biodrying process of MS. First, six machine learning (ML) models were used to construct the MR and CT prediction models, respectively. Then the hyperparameters of the ML models were optimized using the Bayesian optimization algorithm, and the prediction performances of these models after optimization were compared. Finally, the effect of each input feature on the model was also evaluated using SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis and Partial Dependence Plots (PDPs) analysis. The results showed that Gaussian process regression (GPR) was the best model for predicting MR and CT, with R2 of 0.9967 and 0.9958, respectively, and root mean square errors (RMSE) of 0.0059 and 0.354 degree celsius. In addition, graphical user interface software was developed to facilitate the use of the GPR model for predicting MR and CT by researchers and engineers. This study contributes to the rapid prediction, improvement, and optimization of MR and CT during thermally assisted biodrying of MS, and also provides valuable guidance for the dynamic regulation of the drying process.