A systematic review of the predictive value of radiomics for nasopharyngeal carcinoma prognosis

Background: Radiomics has been widely used in the study of tumours, which has predictive and prognostic value in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). Therefore, we collected relevant literature to explore the role of current radiomics in predicting the prognosis of NPC. Methods: We performed a systematic literature review and meta-analysis in accordance with the preferred reporting items in the systematic evaluation and meta-analysis guidelines. We included papers on radiomics published before May 5, 2024, to evaluate the predictive ability of radiomics for the prognosis of NPC. The methodological quality of the included articles was evaluated using the radiomics quality score. The area under the curve (AUC), combined sensitivity and combined specificity were used to evaluate the ability of radiomics models to predict the prognosis of NPC. Results: A total of 20 studies met the inclusion criteria for the current systematic review, and 13 papers were included in the meta-analysis. The radiomics quality score ranged from 7 to 20 (maximum score: 36). The diagnostic test forest plots showed that the diagnostic OR of radiology was 11.04 (95% CI: 5.11-23.87), while the ORs for sensitivity and 1-specificity were 0.75 (95% CI: 0.73-0.78) and 0.74 (95% CI: 0.72-0.76), respectively. It cannot be determined whether the combined model was superior to the radiomics model for predicting the prognosis of NPC. It is unclear whether the fact that the radiomics model was composed of features extracted from MRI is due to CT. The AUC of PFS was larger than that of disease-free survival (P < .05). The overall AUC value is 0.8265. Conclusion: This study summarized all the studies that examined the predictive value of radiomics for NPC prognosis. Based on the summarized AUC values, as well as sensitivity and 1-specificity, it can be concluded that radiomics has good performance in predicting the prognosis of NPC. Radiomics models have certain advantages in predicting the effectiveness of PFS compared to predicting disease-free survival. It cannot be determined whether the combination model is superior to the radiomics model in predicting NPC prognosis, nor can it be determined whether imaging methods have differences in predictive ability. The findings confirmed and provided further evidence supporting the effectiveness of radiomics for the prediction of cancer prognosis.