Pediatric otitis media in Japan: A nationwide longitudinal study of the pre-and post-pneumococcal conjugate vaccine eras born in 2001 and 2010

Background: Otitis media (OM) is a prevalent respiratory disease in children and poses significant public health challenges due to its impact on child health and economic burdens. However, there have no nationwide epidemiological studies conducted in Japan. This study investigates the epidemiological trends of OM in Japan, taking into account the impact of the 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV7) introduction. Method: This study was retrospective cohort study using secondary data on the nationwide longitudinal birth cohort. This survey followed two cohorts born in 2001 (pre-PCV era) and 2010 (post-PCV era) until the age of 9. Every year, parents were surveyed about their children's health status, including occurrences of OM. The annual period prevalence and cumulative incidence of OM were assessed in this study, and the two cohorts were compared using a modified Poisson regression model adjusted environmental factors with the 2001 cohort as reference. Result: The study included 47,015 children from the 2001 cohort and 38,554 from the 2010 cohort. Peak annual period prevalence of OM varied by era. Cumulative incidence was 13.8 % for the 2001 cohort and 18.5 % for the 2010 cohort by 1.5 years of age and 28.9 % and 33.3 %, respectively, by 3.5 years of age. In particular, from the fourth survey onward, covering ages 2.5-3.5 years, a shift was observed from an increased risk to a decreased risk of OM. Conclusion: This nationwide longitudinal study emphasizes variations in OM epidemiology across Japan over time, with changes potentially influenced by the introduction of PCV7. In this study, due to the absence of individual PCV7 vaccination data, the effect of PCV7 was estimated based on the vaccination rate at the population level. The results suggest a notable decrease in the incidence of OM in later years, aligning with the increased uptake of PCV7.