Theoretical investigation of threshold pressure gradient in hydrate-bearing clayey-silty sediments under combined stress and local thermal stimulation conditions

Due to the characteristics of smaller grain size and higher clay mineral content, the threshold pressure gradient (TPG) exists in multi-phase flow within hydrate-bearing clayey-silty sediments (HBCSS), which significantly affects the gas production from hydrate reservoirs. However, multi-phase flow through HBCSS relates to thermalhydrological-mechanical coupling, leading to the understanding of TPG in HBCSS with complex pore structures and hydrate distribution is unclear. In this study, a theoretical TPG model of HBCSS is developed by considering the combined influences of effective stress, temperature increase, pore structures, hydrate saturation and its growth patterns. The proposed TPG model has been thoroughly validated using available experimental data. Moreover, the parameter sensitivity analysis is conducted based on this derived model, revealing a positive correlation between TPG and both effective stress and temperature increase. While TPG generally increases with higher hydrate saturation when other parameters are held constant, the relationship between TPG and hydrate saturation is non-monotonic. This observation suggests that TPG is impacted not only by hydrate saturation but also by other factors, including hydrate growth patterns and pore structures. The findings of this study establish a theoretical foundation for characterizing the nonlinear flow behavior during hydrate exploitation.