A measure of quantile-on-quantile connectedness for the US treasury yield curve spread, the US Dollar, and gold price

被引:14
作者
Wang, Mei-Chih [1 ]
Chang, Tsangyao [2 ]
Mikhaylov, Alexey [3 ,5 ]
Linyu, Jia [4 ]
机构
[1] Wuchang Univ Technol, Sch Business, Dept Investment, Wuhan, Peoples R China
[2] Feng Chia Univ, Dept Finance, Taichung, Taiwan
[3] Financial Univ Govt Russian Federat, Moscow, Russia
[4] Zhejiang Gongshang Univ, East Asian Inst, Hangzhou, Peoples R China
[5] Western Caspian Univ, Baku, Azerbaijan
关键词
Quantile-on-quantile connectedness; Financial market dynamics; Quantile spillovers; Yield curve spread analysis; COVID-19 pandemic economic impact; Monetary policy implications; Time-varying market interconnectedness; MONETARY-POLICY;
D O I
10.1016/j.najef.2024.102232
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
This study applies the Quantile-on-Quantile Connectedness approach to analyze quantile spillovers between the US yield curve spread (10-year vs. 2-year Treasury yields), the US dollar, and gold price from 2 January 2000 to 31 July 2023, covering the COVID-19 pandemic. Our results show that inversely related quantiles demonstrate significantly higher average total connectedness than directly related quantiles among these variables. Additionally, we found that this quantile-based connectedness fluctuates over time, suggesting a dynamic and varied relationship between the US yield spread, the US dollar, and gold prices throughout the period studied.
引用
收藏
页数:16
相关论文
共 49 条
[1]  
Abdullah M, 2023, J RISK FINANC MANAG, V16, P204, DOI [10.3390/jrfm16030204, 10.3390/JRFM16030204, DOI 10.3390/JRFM16030204, 10.3390/jrfm16030204]
[2]  
Adrian T, 2018, INT J CENT BANK, V14, P73
[3]   Dynamic spillovers between the term structure of interest rates, bitcoin, and safe-haven currencies [J].
Aharon, David Y. ;
Umar, Zaghum ;
Vo, Xuan Vinh .
FINANCIAL INNOVATION, 2021, 7 (01)
[4]   The Strategy of South Korea in the Global Oil Market [J].
An, Jaehyung ;
Mikhaylov, Alexey ;
Jung, Sang-Uk .
ENERGIES, 2020, 13 (10)
[5]   How well do economists forecast recessions? [J].
An, Zidong ;
Jalles, Joao Tovar ;
Loungani, Prakash .
INTERNATIONAL FINANCE, 2018, 21 (02) :100-121
[6]  
Bhanja N., 2023, The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, V28
[7]  
Bhanja N., 2023, Economic Modelling, V104
[8]  
Candila V., 2021, Journal of Applied Econometrics, V36, P306
[9]   On the Relationship between Oil and Exchange Rates of Oil-Exporting and Oil-Importing Countries: From the Great Recession Period to the COVID-19 Era [J].
Candila, Vincenzo ;
Maximov, Denis ;
Mikhaylov, Alexey ;
Moiseev, Nikita ;
Senjyu, Tomonobu ;
Tryndina, Nicole .
ENERGIES, 2021, 14 (23)
[10]   The impact of the term spread in US monetary policy from 1870 to 2013 [J].
Carlos Vides, Jose ;
Golpe, Antonio A. ;
Iglesias, Jesus .
JOURNAL OF POLICY MODELING, 2021, 43 (01) :230-251