Towards Non-Region Specific Large-Scale Inundation Modelling with Machine Learning Methods

Traditional flood inundation modelling methods are computationally expensive and not suitable for near-real time inundation prediction. In this study we explore a data-driven machine learning method to complement and, in some cases, replace existing methods. Given sufficient training data and model capacity, our design enables a single neural network instance to approximate the flow characteristics of any input region, opening the possibility of applying the model to regions without available training data. To demonstrate the method we apply it to a very large >8000 km2 region of the Fitzroy river basin in Western Australia with a spatial resolution of 30 m x 30 m, placing an emphasis on efficiency and scalability. In this work we identify and address a range of practical limitations, e.g., we develop a novel water height regression method and cost function to address extreme class imbalances and by carefully constructing the input data, we introduce some natural physical constraints. Furthermore, a compact neural network design and training method was developed to enable the training problem to fit within GPU memory constraints and a novel dataset was constructed from the output of a calibrated two-dimensional hydrodynamic model. A good correlation between the predicted and groundtruth water heights was observed.