Why ain't evidentialists rich?

被引：0

作者：

Weatherson, Brian ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA

来源：

ANALYSIS | 2024年 / 84卷 / 04期

关键词：

evidential decision theory; Newcomb's Problem; signalling game; causal decision theory; dynamic choice;

D O I：

10.1093/analys/anae038

中图分类号：

B [哲学、宗教];

学科分类号：

01 ; 0101 ;

摘要：

A common argument for favouring Evidential Decision Theory (EDT) over Causal Decision Theory (CDT) is that EDT has predictably higher expected returns in Newcomb Problems. But this does not show much. For almost any pair of theories, you can come up with cases where one does, on average, better than the other. Here I describe a case involving dynamic choice where EDT predictably does worse than CDT.

引用

页码：813 / 821

页数：9