Longitudinal albuminuria patterns predict coronary artery calcification progression: Findings from the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults study

Background and aims: Albuminuria is an established risk factor for adverse cardiovascular outcomes. However, few studies have characterized longitudinal albuminuria patterns based on long-term measurement of urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR) levels. We aimed to evaluate the association between longitudinal albuminuria patterns in midlife adults and subsequent CAC progression. Methods: We included 1919 participants with CAC assessment by computed tomography from CARDIA (Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults) study. CAC progression was determined for each individual as the difference of logarithmic CAC scores at follow-up and baseline. Albuminuria patterns across a 10-year span were estimated by longitudinal UACR levels. Multivariable general linear models were used to evaluate the association of long-term albuminuria patterns with CAC progression. Results: Of the 1919 included participants, 583 (30.4 %) participants experienced CAC progression, and the mean (SD) age was 50.4 (3.5) years at year 25. A total of four dynamic albuminuria patterns were identified. After multivariable adjustment, there were significant differences in CAC progression by albuminuria patterns as demonstrated as percent change in CAC with 36.0 % (SE, 1.5) progression for mid- and late-life normoalbuminuria group, 46.0 % (SE, 7.6) for midlife normoalbuminuria and late-life high albuminuria group, 52.4 % (SE, 7.1) for midlife high albuminuria and late-life normoalbuminuria group, and 54.5 % (SE, 8.7) for mid- and latelife high albuminuria group ( p = 0.019). Similar findings were also observed in CAC volume score changes. Conclusions: Longitudinal albuminuria patterns across a 10-year span were associated with worse CAC progression independent of baseline CAC level and albuminuria changes, suggesting that it may provide early identification of high-risk individuals with dynamic rises in albuminuria who may benefit from aggressive risk factor modification.