Working less for longer: unintended effects of longevity adjustment of retirement age

被引:0
作者
Jensen, Svend E. Hougaard [1 ]
Sveinsson, Thorsteinn Sigurdur [2 ]
Duarte, Miguel Sousa [1 ]
机构
[1] Copenhagen Business Sch, Dept Econ, Porcelaenshaven 16A, DK-2000 Frederiksberg C, Denmark
[2] Cent Bank Iceland, Econ & Monetary Policy, Kalkofnsvegur 1, IS-150 Reykjavik, Iceland
关键词
Demographic change; Pension reform; Retirement; Labour supply; DYNAMIC EFFICIENCY; PENSION REFORM; TIME; CONSUMPTION; INCENTIVES;
D O I
10.1007/s10797-024-09862-9
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Using a standard macro model with overlapping generations in the manner of Blanchard-Yaari, we show that by broadening the labour supply on the extensive margin through longevity adjustment of the statutory retirement age, labour supply is likely to decrease on the intensive margin. However, this backlash effect depends on the specific design of the pension system. It is significantly higher under a pay-as-you-go scheme with fixed benefits compared to a pay-as-you-go scheme with fixed contributions and a fully funded scheme based on voluntary savings. The findings have implications for responses to the fiscal and macroeconomic challenges raised by an ageing population.
引用
收藏
页数:30
相关论文
共 35 条
  • [1] ASSESSING DYNAMIC EFFICIENCY - THEORY AND EVIDENCE
    ABEL, AB
    MANKIW, NG
    SUMMERS, LH
    ZECKHAUSER, RJ
    [J]. REVIEW OF ECONOMIC STUDIES, 1989, 56 (01) : 1 - 19
  • [2] [Anonymous], 2021, Pensions at a Glance 2021: OECD and G20 Indicators, DOI [10.1787/ca401ebd-en, DOI 10.1787/CA401-BD-EN, 10.1787/ca401-bd-en]
  • [3] Baksa D., 2016, Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series, V31
  • [4] THE DISTRIBUTION OF WEALTH IN THE BLANCHARD-YAARI MODEL
    Benhabib, Jess
    Bisin, Alberto
    Zhu, Shenghao
    [J]. MACROECONOMIC DYNAMICS, 2016, 20 (02) : 466 - 481
  • [5] DEBT, DEFICITS, AND FINITE HORIZONS
    BLANCHARD, OJ
    [J]. JOURNAL OF POLITICAL ECONOMY, 1985, 93 (02) : 223 - 247
  • [6] Blundell R, 2016, HBK ECON, P457, DOI 10.1016/bs.hespa.2016.10.001
  • [7] Ageing, pension reform and capital flows:: A multi-country simulation model
    Boersch-Supan, Axel
    Ludwig, Alexander
    Winter, Joachim
    [J]. ECONOMICA, 2006, 73 (292) : 625 - 658
  • [8] Modeling the effects of structural reforms and reform backlashes: The cases of pension and labor market reforms
    Boersch-Supan, Axel
    Ludwig, Alexander
    [J]. ECONOMIC MODELLING, 2013, 35 : 999 - 1007
  • [9] Vintage human capital, demographic trends, and endogenous growth
    Boucekkine, R
    de la Croix, D
    Licandro, O
    [J]. JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC THEORY, 2002, 104 (02) : 340 - 375
  • [10] When They're Sixty-Four: Peer Effects and the Timing of Retirement
    Brown, Kristine M.
    Laschever, Ron A.
    [J]. AMERICAN ECONOMIC JOURNAL-APPLIED ECONOMICS, 2012, 4 (03) : 90 - 115