Prospective nutrition-inflammation markers for predicting early stoma-related complications in patients with colorectal cancer undergoing enterostomy

Background Enterostomy is important for radical resection of colorectal cancer (CRC). Nevertheless, the notable occurrence of complications linked to enterostomy results in a reduction in patients' quality of life and impedes adjuvant therapy. This study sought to forecast early stoma-related complications (ESRCs) by leveraging easily accessible nutrition-inflammation markers in CRC patients.Methods This study involved 470 individuals with colorectal cancer who underwent intestinal ostomy at Changhai Hospital Affiliated with Naval Medical University as the internal cohort. Between January 2016 and December 2018, the patients were enrolled and randomly allocated into a primary training group and a secondary validation group, with a ratio of 2:1 being upheld. The research encompassed collecting data on each patient's clinical and pathological status, along with preoperative laboratory results. Independent risk factors were identified through Lasso regression and multivariate analysis, leading to the development of clinical models represented by a nomogram. The model's utility was assessed using decision curve analysis, calibration curve, and ROC curve. The final model was validated using an external validation set of 179 individuals from January 2015 to December 2021.Results Among the internal cohort, stoma complications were observed in 93 cases. Multivariate regression analysis confirmed that age, stoma site, and elevated markers (Mon, NAR, and GLR) in conjunction with diminished markers (GLB and LMR) independently contributed to an increased risk of ESRCs. The clinical model was established based on these seven factors. The training, internal, and external validation groups exhibited ROC curve areas of 0.839, 0.812, and 0.793, respectively. The calibration curve showed good concordance among the forecasted model with real incidence of ostomy complications. The model displayed outstanding predictive capability and is deemed applicable in clinical settings, as evidenced by Decision Curve Analysis.Conclusion This study identified nutrition-inflammation markers (GLB, NAR, and GLR) in combination with demographic data as crucial predictors for forecasting ESRCs in colorectal cancer patients. A novel prognostic model was formulated and validated utilizing these markers.