Spatial-temporal variations of b-values prior to medium-to-large earthquakes in Taiwan and the feasibility of real-time precursor monitoring

被引:2
作者
Chan, Chung-Han [1 ,2 ]
Kao, Jo-Chen [2 ]
Chen, Da-Yi [3 ]
机构
[1] Natl Cent Univ, Earthquake Disaster & Risk Evaluat & Management E, 300 Zhongda Rd, Taoyuan 32001, Taiwan
[2] Natl Cent Univ, Dept Earth Sci, 300 Jhongda Rd, Taoyuan 32001, Taiwan
[3] Cent Weather Adm, 64 Gongyuan Rd, Taipei 100006, Taiwan
来源
EARTH PLANETS AND SPACE | 2024年 / 76卷 / 01期
关键词
Gutenberg-Richter law; b-value; Earthquake precursor; Real time; Taiwan; MAGNITUDE; FORESHOCKS;
D O I
10.1186/s40623-024-02065-w
中图分类号
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号
07 ;
摘要
This study explores the b-value variations prior to M >= 6.0 earthquakes in Taiwan, examining their potential as earthquake precursors. Focusing on the 2018 Hualien earthquake and others between 1999 and 2021, we found that many large earthquakes occurred in areas with low b-values a year prior, although there were no significant temporal changes near the epicenters. However, for more accurate earthquake precursors, incorporating additional factors is recommended to minimize uncertainty.
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页数:14
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