Geomechanical Analysis of the Main Roof Deformation in Room-and-Pillar Ore Mining Systems in Relation to Real Induced Seismicity

Rockbursts represent one of the most serious and severe natural hazards emerging in underground copper mines within the Legnica-Glogow Copper District (LGCD) in Poland. The contributing factor determining the scale of this event is mining-induced seismicity of the rock strata. Extensive expertise of the copper mining practitioners clearly indicates that high-energy tremors are the consequence of tectonic disturbances or can be attributed to stress/strain behaviour within the burst-prone roof strata. Apparently, seismic activity is a triggering factor; hence, attempts are made by mine operators to mitigate and control that risk. Underlying the effective rockburst control strategy is a reliable seismicity forecast, taking into account the causes of the registered phenomena. The paper summarises the geomechanics analyses aimed to verify the actual seismic and rockburst hazard levels in one of the panels within the copper mine Rudna (LGCD). Two traverses were designated at the face range and comparative analyses were conducted to establish correlations between the locations of epicentres of registered tremors and anomaly zones obtained via analytical modelling of changes in stress/strain behaviours within the rock strata. The main objective of this study was to evaluate the likelihood of activating carbonate/anhydrite layers within the main roof over the excavation being mined, with an aim to verify the potential causes and conditions which might have triggered the registered high-energy events. Special attention is given to two seismic events giving rise to rockbursts in mine workings. Results seem to confirm the adequacy and effectiveness of solutions provided by mechanics of deformable bodies in the context of forecasting the scale and risk of dynamic phenomena and selecting the appropriate mitigation and control measures in copper mines employing the room-and-pillar mining system.