Trivariate flood frequency analysis (Q, Q , V , D ) through Copula Functions

被引:0
作者
Campos-Aranda, Daniel Francisco [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Autonoma San Luis Potosi, San Luis Potosi, Mexico
关键词
Copula functions; Kendall's tau ratio; observed dependence; symmetric multivariate Copula Functions; asymmetric trivariate Copula Functions; joint return periods; design events; ABSOLUTE ERROR MAE; TAIL-DEPENDENCE; HYDROLOGY; DESIGN; MODEL; RMSE;
D O I
10.24850/j-tyca-2024-05-02
中图分类号
TU [建筑科学];
学科分类号
0813 ;
摘要
The trivariate flood frequencies analysis, of the maximum flow (Q), Q ), the runoff volume (V) V ) and the total duration (D), D ), allows to estimate with greater accuracy the Hydrograph of the Design Flood. To process available joint annual records of Q and V , it was proposed to estimate D as the duration of the Gamma hydrograph up to 0.1 % of Q . Then, each record of Q , V and D is searched for its ideal probability distribution to obtain the marginal functions. Next, the Copula Function (CF) CF ) that best represents the joint variables Q-V, V , Q-D D and V-D D is adopted. For these searches and the subsequent trivariates, we worked with the CF s of Clayton, Frank, Gumbel-Hougaard and Joe. In both cases, the selection of the best CF is based on the fit errors between the empirical and theoretical probabilities. For the triads of data Q , V , and D , the symmetrical and asymmetrical best-fit CF s of the four families mentioned were sought. Next, the joint return periods of type OR, AND and Kendall are calculated. The latter allow the estimation of the design events of Q , V and D . The trivariate frequency analysis is described for the 55 annual floods of the La Cu & ntilde;a hydrometric station of the Hydrological Region No. 12-3 (Santiago River), Mexico. Finally, the conclusions are formulated, which highlight the simplicity of the trivariate frequency analysis, when performed with CF .
引用
收藏
页码:65 / 132
页数:68
相关论文
共 50 条
[1]  
Aldama A. A., 2006, Seguridad hidrologica de las presas en Mexico
[2]  
Aldama-Rodriguez A. A., 1998, Ingenieria Hidraulica en Mexico, V13, P19
[3]  
[Anonymous], 2013, Extremes in a changing climate
[4]  
[Anonymous], 2006, An introduction to Copulas
[5]   On Kendall's process [J].
Barbe, P ;
Genest, C ;
Ghoudi, K ;
Remillard, B .
JOURNAL OF MULTIVARIATE ANALYSIS, 1996, 58 (02) :197-229
[6]  
Bobek Boguslaw, 1991, P1
[7]   A NEW METHOD OF CONSTRAINED OPTIMIZATION AND A COMPARISON WITH OTHER METHODS [J].
BOX, MJ .
COMPUTER JOURNAL, 1965, 8 (01) :42-52
[8]  
Bunday B. D., 1985, Basic optimisation methods, P98
[9]  
Campos-Aranda D. F., 2003, Introduccion a los metodos numericos: software en Basic y aplicaciones en hidrologia superficial, P172
[10]   Bivariate frequencies analysis of annual floods through practical approach of the Copula functions [J].
Campos-Aranda, Daniel Francisco .
TECNOLOGIA Y CIENCIAS DEL AGUA, 2024, 15 (02) :1-56