The Impact of Information Distortions on Decision-Making: A Case Study in Land-Sea Transport Chain Planning

被引:2
|
作者
Torok, Adam [1 ,2 ]
Semenov, Iouri [3 ]
Filina-Dawidowicz, Ludmila [4 ]
Durczak, Wojciech [4 ,5 ]
机构
[1] Budapest Univ Technol & Econ, Fac Transportat Engn & Vehicle Engn, Muegyet Rkp 3, H-1111 Budapest, Hungary
[2] KT Natl Inst Transport Sci, Dept Logist, Than Karoly Str 3-5, H-1119 Budapest, Hungary
[3] WSB Merito Univ Poznan, Fac Econ Szczecin, 5 Powstancow Wielkopolskich Str, PL-61895 Poznan, Poland
[4] West Pomeranian Univ Technol Szczecin, Fac Maritime Technol & Transport, Ave Piastow 41, PL-71065 Szczecin, Poland
[5] Maritime Off Szczecin, 4 Stefana Batorego Sqr, PL-70207 Szczecin, Poland
关键词
land-sea transport chain; sustainable transport; decision trustworthiness; information distortion; freight transportation planning; decision-making quality; SUPPLY CHAIN; PROBABILITY; QUALITY;
D O I
10.3390/su16135568
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Management based on reliable, complete, and up-to-date information is key to increasing a transport chain's effectiveness and sustainability. The instability of the business environment and the increase in competition have contributed to the growth of challenges faced by managers of transport and logistics companies who make decisions using low-value information exposed to significant distortions. This article aims to investigate the impact of information distortions on decision-making quality and to determine the probability of making trustworthy decisions in freight land-sea transport chain planning. The research was carried out in several stages, which included the formulation of rules for detecting information distortions, as well as distortion clustering and evaluation of their impact on decision quality. A methodology to assess the probability of making trustworthy decisions was developed. It was shown that information value directly impacts the quality of decisions related to transport chain planning for both traditional and unique/occasional freight. In the case of significant information distortion, the manager's ability to assess available information considerably increases, especially in crises, when the lack of time to verify information threatens the accuracy of decisions. This study's results may be useful for transport and logistics companies' managers, who make decisions using information obtained from various sources.
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页数:21
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