Model parameter estimation with imprecise information

被引:1
作者
Rauch, Wolfgang [1 ]
Rauch, Nikolaus [2 ]
Kleidorfer, Manfred [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Innsbruck, Unit Environm Engn, Techn Str 13, A-6020 Innsbruck, Austria
[2] Univ Innsbruck, Interact Graph & Simulat Grp, Innsbruck, Austria
关键词
approximate Bayesian computation; binary data; calibration; imprecise information; inverse modeling; Shapley value; HYDROLOGIC-MODELS; MONTE-CARLO; CALIBRATION; UNCERTAINTY; QUALITY; FLOW;
D O I
10.2166/wst.2024.197
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Model parameter estimation is a well-known inverse problem, as long as single-value point data are available as observations of system performance measurement. However, classical statistical methods, such as the minimization of an objective function or maximum likelihood, are no longer straightforward, when measurements are imprecise in nature. Typical examples of the latter include censored data and binary information. Here, we explore Approximate Bayesian Computation as a simple method to perform model parameter estimation with such imprecise information. We demonstrate the method for the example of a plain rainfall-runoff model and illustrate the advantages and shortcomings. Last, we outline the value of Shapley values to determine which type of observation contributes to the parameter estimation and which are of minor importance.
引用
收藏
页码:156 / 167
页数:12
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