We apply a Time-Varying Parameter Vector Auto Regressive (TVP-VAR) connectedness approach on global assets to investigate time-varying dynamic connectedness, portfolio performance, and hedge effectiveness during COVID-19 and the Russia-Ukraine war. With increased connectedness and the changing role of energy and soft commodities during these two events, we find the minimum correlation (connectedness) portfolio performing better during COVID-19 and the Russia-Ukraine war and that cumulative returns of portfolios are higher during COVID-19. Additionally, we find varying (stable) hedge effectiveness of equity market indices and soft commodities (cryptocurrencies). This paper provides specific insights to investors about using optimal portfolios and hedging during pandemics and military conflicts.
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Univ West England, Bristol Business Sch, Bristol BS16 1QY, EnglandUniv West England, Bristol Business Sch, Bristol BS16 1QY, England
Rubbaniy, Ghulame
Maghyereh, Aktham
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United Arab Emirates Univ, Coll Business & Econ, Al Ain, U Arab EmiratesUniv West England, Bristol Business Sch, Bristol BS16 1QY, England
Maghyereh, Aktham
Cheffi, Walid
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King Fahd Univ Petr & Minerals, Dept Accounting & Finance, IRC Finance & Digital Econ, Al Dhahran, Saudi ArabiaUniv West England, Bristol Business Sch, Bristol BS16 1QY, England
Cheffi, Walid
Khalid, Ali Awais
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Univ Lahore, Lahore Business Sch, Lahore, PakistanUniv West England, Bristol Business Sch, Bristol BS16 1QY, England
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Nelson Mandela Univ, Fac Business & Econ Studies, Dept Econ, Embizweni Bldg, ZA-6031 Port Elizabeth, South AfricaNelson Mandela Univ, Fac Business & Econ Studies, Dept Econ, Embizweni Bldg, ZA-6031 Port Elizabeth, South Africa