Predicting the dynamics of organ failure in patients with acute pancreatitis depending on the mean platelet volume

Background: The aim of this study is to determine the correlation between the blood serum mean platelet volume (MPV) and the dynamics of the OF course during the early phase in patients with moderately severe and severe acute pancreatitis (AP). Methods: The predetermined criterion was the presence of the OF according to the revised Atlanta criteria 2012 for moderately severe and severe AP. A prospective sample of patients was stratified by severity, and two groups were defined based on MPV. Demographic indicators, comorbidities and clinical outcomes were compared between these groups. Multifactorial analysis determined whether an elevated MPV is independently associated with early OF and other unfavorable outcomes. Results: Out of 108 patients, 20 had moderately severe AP and 88 had severe AP. The blood serum MPV, measured within 72 h of the onset of AP symptoms was lower 11.8 fL in 32 patients and equal to or greater 11.8 fL in 76 patients. Patients with elevated MPV were older (63 vs. 48 years), had obesity (59.2 % vs. 25 %), diabetes mellitus (DM) (51.3 % vs. 12.5 %), ischemic heart disease (70.8 % vs. 28.1 %) and more frequently experienced persistent OF (93.4 % vs. 53.1 %) compared to those with MPV lower 11.8 fL. The incidence of early OF increased proportionally with the severity of MPV (81.6 % vs. 34.4 % in the group with MPV lower 11.8 fL, Ptrend < 0.0001). In multifactorial analysis, adjusted for body mass index and DM, MPV equal to or greater 11.8 fL was independently associated with early OF. Conclusions: Elevated blood serum MPV of patients with AP are independently and proportionally correlated with early organ failure in patients with alcoholic and idiopathic etiology of AP.