The importance of place-kicking in Women's International Rugby Union

Despite the growing popularity of women's rugby, there is a lack of research understanding the contribution of place-kicking to match outcomes. This study aims to establish the characteristics and contribution of place-kicking to women's international Rugby Union and evaluate the performance of place-kickers while accounting for factors that contribute to kick difficulty. Data from 674 place-kicks across 80 matches were analysed. A binomial generalised linear mixed model (GLMM) was used to predict the probability of kick success. 60.5% of place-kicks were successful, and they contributed 23.9% of all points scored; conversions accounted for 16.8% and penalties 7.1%. Kick success percentages for conversions (56.9%) and penalties (78.3%) significantly differed (p < 0.01). Kick distance and angle were significant (p < 0.01) predictors of kick success and the GLMM had a prediction accuracy of 73.6%. The performance rankings of kickers changed when comparing observed and expected success, highlighting the need to consider contextual factors contributing to kick difficulty when evaluating performance. The GLMM results provide valuable insights for coaches and players to make informed decisions, for example, whether to attempt a place-kick when a penalty is awarded, by enabling predictions of place-kick success. This could enhance a team's chances of winning matches.