Two prospective, multicenter studies for the identification of biomarker signatures for early detection of pulmonary hypertension (PH): The CIPHER and CIPHER-MRI studies

A blood test identifying patients at increased risk of pulmonary hypertension (PH) could streamline the investigative pathway. The prospective, multicenter CIPHER study aimed to develop a microRNA-based signature for detecting PH in breathless patients and enrolled adults with a high suspicion of PH who had undergone right heart catheterization (RHC). The CIPHER-MRI study was added to assess the performance of this CIPHER signature in a population with low probability of having PH who underwent cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (cMRI) instead of RHC. The microRNA signature was developed using a penalized linear regression (LASSO) model. Data were modeled both with and without N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP). Signature performance was assessed against predefined thresholds (lower 98.7% CI bound of >= 0.73 for sensitivity and >= 0.53 for specificity, based on a meta-analysis of echocardiographic data), using RHC as the true diagnosis. Overall, 926 CIPHER participants were screened and 888 were included in the analysis. Of 688 RHC-confirmed PH cases, approximately 40% were already receiving PH treatment. Fifty microRNA (from 311 investigated) were algorithmically selected to be included in the signature. Sensitivity [97.5% CI] of the signature was 0.85 [0.80-0.89] for microRNA-alone and 0.90 [0.86-0.93] for microRNA+NT-proBNP, and the corresponding specificities were 0.33 [0.24-0.44] and 0.28 [0.20-0.39]. Of 80 CIPHER-MRI participants with evaluable data, 7 were considered PH-positive by cMRI whereas 52 were considered PH-positive by the microRNA signature. Due to low specificity, the CIPHER miRNA-based signature for PH (either with or without NT-proBNP in model) did not meet the prespecified diagnostic threshold for the primary analysis.