LSTM-Powered COVID-19 prediction in central Thailand incorporating meteorological and particulate matter data with a multi-feature selection approach

被引:1
作者
Winalai, Chanidapa [1 ]
Anupong, Suparinthon [2 ]
Modchang, Charin [3 ,4 ,5 ]
Chadsuthi, Sudarat [1 ]
机构
[1] Naresuan Univ, Fac Sci, Dept Phys, Phitsanulok 65000, Thailand
[2] Mahidol Wittayanusorn Sch MWIT, Dept Chem, Nakhon Pathom 73170, Thailand
[3] Mahidol Univ, Fac Sci, Dept Phys, Biophys Grp, Bangkok 10400, Thailand
[4] CHE, Ctr Excellence Math, Bangkok 10400, Thailand
[5] CHE, Thailand Ctr Excellence Phys, 328 Si Ayutthaya Rd, Bangkok 10400, Thailand
关键词
Multi-feature selection; COVID-19; Long short-term memory model; Meteorology; Particulate matter; ALGORITHM;
D O I
10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e30319
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly impacted public health and necessitated urgent actions to mitigate its spread. Monitoring and predicting the outbreak's progression have become vital to devise effective strategies and allocate resources efficiently. This study presents a novel approach utilizing Multivariate Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) to analyze and predict COVID-19 trends in Central Thailand, particularly emphasizing the multi-feature selection process. To consider a comprehensive view of the pandemic's dynamics, our research dataset encompasses epidemiological, meteorological, and particulate matter features, which were gathered from reliable sources. We propose a multi-feature selection technique to identify the most relevant and influential features that significantly impact the spread of COVID-19 in the region to enhance the model's performance. Our results highlight that relative humidity is the key factor driving COVID-19 transmission in Central Thailand. The proposed multi-feature selection technique significantly improves the model's accuracy, ensuring that only the most informative variables contribute to the predictions, avoiding the potential noise or redundancy from less relevant features. The proposed LSTM model demonstrates its capability to forecast COVID-19 cases, facilitating informed decision-making for public health authorities and policymakers.
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页数:13
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