Recovering risk aversion from Bitcoin option prices and realized returns
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作者:
Cheng, Zhiyong
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机构:
Northwest Normal Univ, Coll Econ, 967 Anning East Rd, Lanzhou 730070, Gansu, Peoples R ChinaNorthwest Normal Univ, Coll Econ, 967 Anning East Rd, Lanzhou 730070, Gansu, Peoples R China
Cheng, Zhiyong
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机构:
[1] Northwest Normal Univ, Coll Econ, 967 Anning East Rd, Lanzhou 730070, Gansu, Peoples R China
This study recovers the Bitcoin option-implied risk aversion by jointly estimating a cross-sectional dataset of option prices and time-series data of realized returns on underlying asset prices. The empirical analysis of Bitcoin options on Deribit shows that the risk aversion function exhibits a peak shape, with the level of implied risk aversion of Bitcoin options ranging from $ - 0.2$-0.2 to 0.05, which is significantly lower than that of the traditional options market; furthermore, maturity affects the level of option-implied risk aversion, with shorter maturity implying higher risk-aversion levels. Moreover, our research indicates that after halving of Bitcoin, investors' risk aversion function becomes higher and steeper than before.
机构:
Univ San Diego, San Diego, CA 92110 USA
Univ Calif Los Angeles, Anderson Sch Management, Los Angeles, CA 90024 USAUniv San Diego, San Diego, CA 92110 USA