Recovering risk aversion from Bitcoin option prices and realized returns

被引:0
|
作者
Cheng, Zhiyong [1 ]
机构
[1] Northwest Normal Univ, Coll Econ, 967 Anning East Rd, Lanzhou 730070, Gansu, Peoples R China
关键词
Bitcoin option; risk aversion; risk-neutral density; subjective density;
D O I
10.1080/13504851.2024.2381564
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
This study recovers the Bitcoin option-implied risk aversion by jointly estimating a cross-sectional dataset of option prices and time-series data of realized returns on underlying asset prices. The empirical analysis of Bitcoin options on Deribit shows that the risk aversion function exhibits a peak shape, with the level of implied risk aversion of Bitcoin options ranging from $ - 0.2$-0.2 to 0.05, which is significantly lower than that of the traditional options market; furthermore, maturity affects the level of option-implied risk aversion, with shorter maturity implying higher risk-aversion levels. Moreover, our research indicates that after halving of Bitcoin, investors' risk aversion function becomes higher and steeper than before.
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页数:5
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