Climatic Modeling of Seawater Intrusion in Coastal Aquifers: Understanding the Climate Change Impacts

被引:4
|
作者
Lyra, Aikaterini [1 ]
Loukas, Athanasios [2 ]
Sidiropoulos, Pantelis [2 ]
Mylopoulos, Nikitas [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Thessaly, Sch Engn, Dept Civil Engn, Lab Hydrol & Aquat Syst Anal, Volos 38334, Greece
[2] Aristotle Univ Thessaloniki, Sch Rural & Surveying Engn, Lab Hydraul Works & Environm Management, Thessaloniki 54124, Greece
关键词
climate change; Med-CORDEX; integrated modeling system; groundwater; seawater intrusion; water resources;
D O I
10.3390/hydrology11040049
中图分类号
TV21 [水资源调查与水利规划];
学科分类号
081501 ;
摘要
The study examines the impacts of climate change and sea level rise on coastal aquifers, focusing on the influence of the components of the water cycle on seawater intrusion, and the evolution of the phenomenon in the future. The simulation of coastal water resources was performed using an integrated modeling system (IMS), designed for agricultural coastal watersheds, which consists of inter-connected models of surface hydrology (UTHBAL), groundwater hydrology (MODFLOW), and seawater intrusion (SEAWAT). Climatic models for the adverse impact scenario (RCP8.5) and the medium impact scenario (RCP4.5) of climate change were used. Transient boundary head conditions were set to the coastal boundary, to dynamically represent the rise in sea level due to climate change. The response of groundwater in the coastal Almyros Basin, located in central Greece, was simulated from 1991 to 2100. The findings indicate that seawater intrusion will be advanced in the future, in both climate change scenarios. The models show varying patterns in groundwater recharge, with varying uncertainty projected into the future, and sensitivity to time in the fluctuation of the components of the water cycle.
引用
收藏
页数:25
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