SPATIAL ANALYSIS OF POPULIST RADICAL RIGHT IN THE 2020 CROATIA PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS - THE CASE OF THE HOMELAND MOVEMENT

In the last few years, we are witnessing a resurgence of populist radical rightwing parties all over Europe as well as in Croatia. In the 2020 parliamentary elections in Croatia, populist radical right parties achieved the best overall result since the Croatian independence. However, in Croatian scientific bibliography there are very few studies regarding that topic. The aim of the paper is to examine the geography of support for the Homeland Movement, the strongest populist radical right party in Croatia. The research is based on the comparison between the results of four statistical methods (OLS, LISA, GWR, MGWR). Results have shown limitations of global models and benefits of employing multiscale and geographically weighted models. Analysis points to COVID-19 vaccination rate followed by religiosity as the most vital factors explaining the voting for the Homeland Movement.