photovoltaic power forecasting;
energy data analysis;
temporal convolutional network;
self-attention mechanism;
transformer model;
teacher forcing;
Optuna;
NEURAL-NETWORKS;
OPTIMIZATION;
SYSTEMS;
D O I:
10.3390/electronics13112071
中图分类号:
TP [自动化技术、计算机技术];
学科分类号:
0812 ;
摘要:
We present SolarFlux Predictor, a novel deep-learning model designed to revolutionize photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting in South Korea. This model uses a self-attention-based temporal convolutional network (TCN) to process and predict PV outputs with high precision. We perform meticulous data preprocessing to ensure accurate data normalization and outlier rectification, which are vital for reliable PV power data analysis. The TCN layers are crucial for capturing temporal patterns in PV energy data; we complement them with the teacher forcing technique during the training phase to significantly enhance the sequence prediction accuracy. By optimizing hyperparameters with Optuna, we further improve the model's performance. Our model incorporates multi-head self-attention mechanisms to focus on the most impactful temporal features, thereby improving forecasting accuracy. In validations against datasets from nine regions in South Korea, SolarFlux outperformed conventional methods. The results indicate that SolarFlux is a robust tool for optimizing PV systems' management and operational efficiency and can contribute to South Korea's pursuit of sustainable energy solutions.
机构:
Kun Shan Univ, Fac Dept Informat Management, Green Energy Technol Res Ctr, Tainan 710303, TaiwanKun Shan Univ, Fac Dept Informat Management, Green Energy Technol Res Ctr, Tainan 710303, Taiwan
Lin, Wen-Hui
Wang, Ping
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h-index: 0
机构:
Kun Shan Univ, Fac Dept Informat Management, Green Energy Technol Res Ctr, Tainan 710303, TaiwanKun Shan Univ, Fac Dept Informat Management, Green Energy Technol Res Ctr, Tainan 710303, Taiwan
Wang, Ping
Chao, Kuo-Ming
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机构:
Coventry Univ, Sch MIS, Engn & Comp, Coventry CV1 5FB, W Midlands, EnglandKun Shan Univ, Fac Dept Informat Management, Green Energy Technol Res Ctr, Tainan 710303, Taiwan
Chao, Kuo-Ming
Lin, Hsiao-Chung
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机构:
Kun Shan Univ, Fac Dept Informat Management, Green Energy Technol Res Ctr, Tainan 710303, TaiwanKun Shan Univ, Fac Dept Informat Management, Green Energy Technol Res Ctr, Tainan 710303, Taiwan
Lin, Hsiao-Chung
Yang, Zong-Yu
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机构:
Kun Shan Univ, Fac Dept Informat Management, Green Energy Technol Res Ctr, Tainan 710303, TaiwanKun Shan Univ, Fac Dept Informat Management, Green Energy Technol Res Ctr, Tainan 710303, Taiwan
Yang, Zong-Yu
Lai, Yu-Huang
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机构:
Kun Shan Univ, Fac Dept Informat Management, Green Energy Technol Res Ctr, Tainan 710303, TaiwanKun Shan Univ, Fac Dept Informat Management, Green Energy Technol Res Ctr, Tainan 710303, Taiwan
机构:
Shenzhen Univ, Coll Mechatron & Control Engn, Shenzhen 518060, Peoples R ChinaShenzhen Univ, Coll Mechatron & Control Engn, Shenzhen 518060, Peoples R China
Wang, Huaizhi
Yi, Haiyan
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机构:
Shenzhen Univ, Coll Mechatron & Control Engn, Shenzhen 518060, Peoples R ChinaShenzhen Univ, Coll Mechatron & Control Engn, Shenzhen 518060, Peoples R China
Yi, Haiyan
Peng, Jianchun
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机构:
Shenzhen Univ, Coll Mechatron & Control Engn, Shenzhen 518060, Peoples R ChinaShenzhen Univ, Coll Mechatron & Control Engn, Shenzhen 518060, Peoples R China
Peng, Jianchun
Wang, Guibin
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Shenzhen Univ, Coll Mechatron & Control Engn, Shenzhen 518060, Peoples R ChinaShenzhen Univ, Coll Mechatron & Control Engn, Shenzhen 518060, Peoples R China
Wang, Guibin
Liu, Yitao
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机构:
Shenzhen Univ, Coll Mechatron & Control Engn, Shenzhen 518060, Peoples R ChinaShenzhen Univ, Coll Mechatron & Control Engn, Shenzhen 518060, Peoples R China
Liu, Yitao
Jiang, Hui
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h-index: 0
机构:
Shenzhen Univ, Coll Optoelect Engn, Shenzhen 518060, Peoples R ChinaShenzhen Univ, Coll Mechatron & Control Engn, Shenzhen 518060, Peoples R China
Jiang, Hui
Liu, Wenxin
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Shenzhen Univ, Coll Mechatron & Control Engn, Shenzhen 518060, Peoples R ChinaShenzhen Univ, Coll Mechatron & Control Engn, Shenzhen 518060, Peoples R China