SolarFlux Predictor: A Novel Deep Learning Approach for Photovoltaic Power Forecasting in South Korea

被引:2
|
作者
Min, Hyunsik [1 ]
Hong, Seokjun [1 ]
Song, Jeonghoon [1 ]
Son, Byeoungmin [1 ]
Noh, Byeongjoon [1 ]
Moon, Jihoon [1 ]
机构
[1] Soonchunhyang Univ, Dept AI & Big Data, Asan 31538, South Korea
关键词
photovoltaic power forecasting; energy data analysis; temporal convolutional network; self-attention mechanism; transformer model; teacher forcing; Optuna; NEURAL-NETWORKS; OPTIMIZATION; SYSTEMS;
D O I
10.3390/electronics13112071
中图分类号
TP [自动化技术、计算机技术];
学科分类号
0812 ;
摘要
We present SolarFlux Predictor, a novel deep-learning model designed to revolutionize photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting in South Korea. This model uses a self-attention-based temporal convolutional network (TCN) to process and predict PV outputs with high precision. We perform meticulous data preprocessing to ensure accurate data normalization and outlier rectification, which are vital for reliable PV power data analysis. The TCN layers are crucial for capturing temporal patterns in PV energy data; we complement them with the teacher forcing technique during the training phase to significantly enhance the sequence prediction accuracy. By optimizing hyperparameters with Optuna, we further improve the model's performance. Our model incorporates multi-head self-attention mechanisms to focus on the most impactful temporal features, thereby improving forecasting accuracy. In validations against datasets from nine regions in South Korea, SolarFlux outperformed conventional methods. The results indicate that SolarFlux is a robust tool for optimizing PV systems' management and operational efficiency and can contribute to South Korea's pursuit of sustainable energy solutions.
引用
收藏
页数:23
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] Photovoltaic Power Forecasting With a Hybrid Deep Learning Approach
    Li, Gangqiang
    Xie, Sen
    Wang, Bozhong
    Xin, Jiantao
    Li, Yunfeng
    Du, Shengnan
    IEEE ACCESS, 2020, 8 (08) : 175871 - 175880
  • [2] Forecasting international tourist arrivals in South Korea: a deep learning approach
    Zhang, Siyu
    Lin, Ze
    Yhang, Wii-Joo
    JOURNAL OF HOSPITALITY AND TOURISM TECHNOLOGY, 2025, 16 (02) : 247 - 268
  • [3] Deep learning models in photovoltaic power forecasting: A review
    Coya, Zahiir
    Khoodaruth, Abdel
    Ramenah, Harry
    Oree, Vishwamitra
    Murdan, Anshu Prakash
    Bessafi, Miloud
    2024 1ST INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON SMART ENERGY SYSTEMS AND ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE, SESAI 2024, 2024, : 174 - +
  • [4] VAPOR: A Novel Approach to Power Forecasting in a Photovoltaic Microgrid
    Xu, Andy
    2023 IEEE POWER & ENERGY SOCIETY INNOVATIVE SMART GRID TECHNOLOGIES CONFERENCE, ISGT, 2023,
  • [5] Regional Photovoltaic Power Forecasting Using Vector Autoregression Model in South Korea
    Jung, A-Hyun
    Lee, Dong-Hyun
    Kim, Jin-Young
    Kim, Chang Ki
    Kim, Hyun-Goo
    Lee, Yung-Seop
    ENERGIES, 2022, 15 (21)
  • [6] A Novel Hybrid Deep Learning Model for Photovoltaic Power Forecasting Based on Feature Extraction and BiLSTM
    Lin, Wenshuai
    Zhang, Bin
    Lu, Renquan
    IEEJ TRANSACTIONS ON ELECTRICAL AND ELECTRONIC ENGINEERING, 2024, 19 (03) : 305 - 317
  • [7] An Evaluation of Predictor Variables for Photovoltaic Power Forecasting
    Visser, Lennard
    AlSkaif, Tarel
    van Sark, Wilfried
    INTELLIGENT TECHNOLOGIES AND APPLICATIONS, 2022, 1616 : 303 - 310
  • [8] A Machine-Learning Approach for Regional Photovoltaic Power Forecasting
    Li, Yuan
    Sun, Qian
    Lehman, Brad
    Lu, Siyuan
    Hamann, Hendrik F.
    Simmons, Joseph
    Black, Jon
    2016 IEEE POWER AND ENERGY SOCIETY GENERAL MEETING (PESGM), 2016,
  • [9] A novel learning approach for short-term photovoltaic power forecasting - A review and case studies
    Ferkous, Khaled
    Guermoui, Mawloud
    Menakh, Sarra
    Bellaour, Abderahmane
    Boulmaiz, Tayeb
    ENGINEERING APPLICATIONS OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE, 2024, 133
  • [10] A Hybrid Deep Learning-Based Network for Photovoltaic Power Forecasting
    Hussain, Altaf
    Khan, Zulfiqar Ahmad
    Hussain, Tanveer
    Ullah, Fath U. Min
    Rho, Seungmin
    Baik, Sung Wook
    COMPLEXITY, 2022, 2022