机构:
Univ Chinese Acad Social Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
Chinese Acad Social Sci, Beijing, Peoples R ChinaUniv Chinese Acad Social Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
Zhong, Chunping
[1
,2
]
Huo, Jiaxu
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h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Chinese Acad Social Sci, Beijing, Peoples R ChinaUniv Chinese Acad Social Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
Huo, Jiaxu
[1
]
机构:
[1] Univ Chinese Acad Social Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
[2] Chinese Acad Social Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
Inflation expectations;
Uncertainty;
Age-heterogeneous;
Subjective probability distribution;
D O I:
10.1016/j.econlet.2024.111834
中图分类号:
F [经济];
学科分类号:
02 ;
摘要:
This letter studies age-heterogeneous inflation uncertainty. We contrast two measures of uncertainty: The variance of the respondents' subjective belief distribution and the relatively objective rounding-based uncertainty. Inconsistency of two measures suggests that older individuals may underestimate inflation uncertainty while the young tend to overestimate it. This is further supported by the observation that older individuals have higher prediction errors. The research indicates a potential bias in subjective uncertainty assessments of different age groups.
机构:
Univ Int Business & Econ, Sch Stat, Beijing 100029, Peoples R ChinaUniv Int Business & Econ, Sch Stat, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
Liu, Siming
Wang, Mengxin
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机构:
Guangzhou Univ, Guangzhou Int Inst Finance, Guangzhou 510405, Peoples R ChinaUniv Int Business & Econ, Sch Stat, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
Wang, Mengxin
Tan, Yong
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机构:
Univ Huddersfield, Dept Accountancy Finance & Econ, Huddersfield HD1 3DH, W Yorkshire, EnglandUniv Int Business & Econ, Sch Stat, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
机构:
China Merchants Grp, Postdoctoral Res Stn, Shenzhen, Peoples R China
Univ Groningen, Groningen, NetherlandsChina Merchants Grp, Postdoctoral Res Stn, Shenzhen, Peoples R China
Xu, Can
Steiner, Andreas
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机构:
Univ Groningen, Groningen, Netherlands
RheinMain Univ Appl Sci, Wiesbaden Business Sch, Wiesbaden, Germany
CESifo, Munich, GermanyChina Merchants Grp, Postdoctoral Res Stn, Shenzhen, Peoples R China
Steiner, Andreas
de Haan, Jakob
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h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Groningen, Groningen, Netherlands
CESifo, Munich, GermanyChina Merchants Grp, Postdoctoral Res Stn, Shenzhen, Peoples R China
机构:
Univ Tasmania, Sch Business & Econ, Churchill Ave, Hobart, Tas 7005, AustraliaUniv Tasmania, Sch Business & Econ, Churchill Ave, Hobart, Tas 7005, Australia
Jia, Jing
Li, Zhongtian
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Queensland Univ Technol, QUT Business Sch, 2 George St, Brisbane, Qld 4000, AustraliaUniv Tasmania, Sch Business & Econ, Churchill Ave, Hobart, Tas 7005, Australia
机构:
Banking Univ Ho Chi Minh City, Dept Finance, Ho Chi Minh City, VietnamBanking Univ Ho Chi Minh City, Dept Finance, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
Van Dan Dang
Hoang Chung Nguyen
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h-index: 0
机构:
Thu Dau Mot Univ, Dept Finance & Banking, Business Sch, Thu Dau Mot City, VietnamBanking Univ Ho Chi Minh City, Dept Finance, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam