Assessing the impacts of technological change on food security and climate change mitigation in China's agriculture and land-use sectors

被引:9
作者
Wang, Xiaoxi [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Du, Ruiying [1 ,2 ]
Cai, Hao [1 ,2 ]
Lin, Bin [1 ,2 ]
Dietrich, Jan Philipp [3 ]
Stevanovic, Miodrag [3 ]
Lotze-Campen, Hermann [1 ,3 ,4 ]
Popp, Alexander [3 ,5 ]
机构
[1] Zhejiang Univ, China Acad Rural Dev, Sch Publ Affairs, Hangzhou 310027, Peoples R China
[2] MAgPIE China Res Grp, Beijing, Peoples R China
[3] Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res, Potsdam, Germany
[4] Humboldt Univ, Dept Agr Econ, Berlin, Germany
[5] Univ Kassel, Fac Organ Agr Sci, Kassel, Germany
基金
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
Technological change; R&D investment; Agricultural productivity; Food security; Climate change mitigation; GREENHOUSE-GAS MITIGATION; PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH; CROP PRODUCTIVITY; EMISSIONS; MODEL; DEMAND;
D O I
10.1016/j.eiar.2024.107550
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
China has made substantial investment in agricultural research and development (R&D) to promote technological change (TC). Although the role of TC in enhancing agricultural production and mitigating environmental impacts is widely recognized in separate contexts, knowledge about its' effects on food security and the environment, especially with a focus on China, is still lacking. This study uses an agro-economic optimization model to assess the impact of TC on food security and climate change mitigation. Our results indicate that TC plays an important role in improving agricultural productivity, which, in turn, contributes to a comparative advantage in agricultural trade. It also strengthens food security through lowering food prices. By contrast, a higher TC level increases greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, albeit marginally, due to higher agricultural production for exports. This indicates a rebound effect of agricultural productivity on GHG emissions. Therefore, additional efforts are required in China to improve food security without compromising GHG mitigation.
引用
收藏
页数:9
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