How does energy modelling influence policymaking? Insights from low-and middle-income countries

被引:2
作者
Fuchs, J. L. [1 ]
Tesfamichael, M. [2 ]
Clube, R. [1 ]
Tomei, J. [1 ]
机构
[1] UCL, Inst Sustainable Resources, Cent House,14 Upper Woburn Pl, London WC1H 0NN, England
[2] UCL, Dept Sci Technol Engn & Publ Policy, 22 Gordon Sq, London, England
关键词
Energy system modelling; Energy planning; Energy transitions; Low-and-middle-income countries; Political economy; Policymaking; Capacity building; SYSTEMS;
D O I
10.1016/j.rser.2024.114726
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Energy system models are widely used to explore, analyse and plan energy futures and sustainable transitions. These models, typically developed in high-income countries, have more recently been applied in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). As a result, the role that models play in informing decisions in such contexts lacks adequate exploration. Drawing on 35 qualitative interviews with energy system modellers and policymakers, this research examines the experiences of developing and using energy system models that support decision-making in LMICs. The findings suggest that many conventional modelling approaches do not account for the political economy influences and developmental challenges specific to LMICs, with implications for modelling processes and outcomes. The interviews highlighted the need to understand the roles played by diverse stakeholders in shaping modelling processes, as well as the communication, interpretation and use of energy models. This indicates that, particularly in modelling projects which bring in external modellers, a good understanding of the country context is essential to design appropriate model scenarios and for their interpretation in policymaking. Finally, more in-country capacity is needed to foster local ownership of modelling projects.
引用
收藏
页数:10
相关论文
共 71 条
  • [41] Simulation versus Optimisation: Theoretical Positions in Energy System Modelling
    Lund, Henrik
    Arler, Finn
    Ostergaard, Poul Alberg
    Hvelplund, Frede
    Connolly, David
    Mathiesen, Brian Vad
    Karnoe, Peter
    [J]. ENERGIES, 2017, 10 (07)
  • [42] McDowall W., 2020, EVIDENCE ENERGY POLI
  • [43] Participatory methods in energy system modelling and planning-A review
    McGookin, Connor
    Gallachoir, Brian O.
    Byrne, Edmond
    [J]. RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS, 2021, 151
  • [44] Meier P., 1984, Energy systems analysis for developing countries, DOI [10.1007/978-3-642-48337-0, DOI 10.1007/978-3-642-48337-0]
  • [45] MESSAGE-IIASA, About us
  • [46] Africa needs context-relevant evidence to shape its clean energy future
    Mulugetta, Yacob
    Sokona, Youba
    Trotter, Philipp A.
    Fankhauser, Samuel
    Omukuti, Jessica
    Croxatto, Lucas Somavilla
    Steffen, Bjarne
    Tesfamichael, Meron
    Abraham, Edo
    Adam, Jean-Paul
    Agbemabiese, Lawrence
    Agutu, Churchill
    Aklilu, Mekalia Paulos
    Alao, Olakunle
    Batidzirai, Bothwell
    Bekele, Getachew
    Dagnachew, Anteneh G.
    Davidson, Ogunlade
    Denton, Fatima
    Diemuodeke, E. Ogheneruona
    Egli, Florian
    Gebresilassie, Eshetu Gebrekidan
    Gebreslassie, Mulualem
    Goundiam, Mamadou
    Gujba, Haruna Kachalla
    Hailu, Yohannes
    Hawkes, Adam D.
    Hirmer, Stephanie
    Hoka, Helen
    Howells, Mark
    Isah, Abdulrasheed
    Kammen, Daniel
    Kemausuor, Francis
    Khennas, Ismail
    Kruger, Wikus
    Malo, Ifeoma
    Mofor, Linus
    Nago, Minette
    Nock, Destenie
    Okereke, Chukwumerije
    Ouedraogo, S. Nadia
    Probst, Benedict
    Schmidt, Maria
    Schmidt, Tobias S.
    Shenga, Carlos
    Sokona, Mohamed
    Steckel, Jan Christoph
    Sterl, Sebastian
    Tembo, Bernard
    Tomei, Julia
    [J]. NATURE ENERGY, 2022, 7 (11) : 1015 - 1022
  • [47] Integrated energy systems ? modeling studies for sub-Saharan Africa: A scoping review
    Musonye, Xavier S.
    Daviosdottir, Brynhildur
    Kristjansson, Ragnar
    Asgeirsson, Eyjolfur I.
    Stefansson, Hlynur
    [J]. RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS, 2020, 128 (128)
  • [48] Net-zero plans exclude Africa
    Mutiso, Rose M.
    [J]. NATURE, 2022, 611 (7934) : 10 - 10
  • [49] Developing a community of practice around an open source energy modelling tool
    Niet, T.
    Shivakumar, A.
    Gardumi, F.
    Usher, W.
    Williams, E.
    Howells, M.
    [J]. ENERGY STRATEGY REVIEWS, 2021, 35
  • [50] Review and validation of EnergyPLAN
    Ostergaard, P. A.
    Lund, H.
    Thellufsen, J. Z.
    Sorknaes, P.
    Mathiesen, B. V.
    [J]. RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS, 2022, 168