Environmental Stressors and Migration: Evidence from Vietnam

被引:88
|
作者
Koubi, Vally [1 ,2 ]
Spilker, Gabriele [3 ]
Schaffer, Lena [1 ]
Bernauer, Thomas [1 ]
机构
[1] Swiss Fed Inst Technol, Zurich, Switzerland
[2] Univ Bern, CH-3012 Bern, Switzerland
[3] Salzburg Univ, A-5020 Salzburg, Austria
关键词
climate change; floods; droughts; migration; micro-level; Vietnam; CLIMATE-CHANGE; POPULATION MOBILITY; VULNERABILITY; RESPONSES; DROUGHT;
D O I
10.1016/j.worlddev.2015.11.016
中图分类号
F0 [经济学]; F1 [世界各国经济概况、经济史、经济地理]; C [社会科学总论];
学科分类号
0201 ; 020105 ; 03 ; 0303 ;
摘要
The argument that environmental change is an important driving force of migration has experienced a strong revival in the climate change context. While various studies predict large environmental migration flows due to climate change and other environmental events, the ex post empirical evidence for this phenomenon is inconclusive. We contribute to the extant literature by focusing on the micro-level. We examine whether and how individual perceptions of different types of environmental stressors induce internal migration. The analysis relies on original survey data from Vietnam including both migrants and non-migrants. The results suggest that individual perceptions of long-term environmental events, such as droughts, significantly reduce migration while perceptions of sudden-onset environmental events, such as floods, significantly increase the likelihood of migration controlling for other determinants of migration. These findings also imply that improving the targeting of aid to environmental disaster-affected areas and the financial and technical support for adaptation to environmental change could be the most productive policy-options. Policymakers, thus, need to implement a wide range of developmental policies in combination with environmental ones in order to improve society's ability to effectively cope with environmental change and minimize its effect on migration. (C) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:197 / 210
页数:14
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