Enhancing transmission control of the COVID-19 epidemic in India: optimal strategies and approaches

被引:0
作者
Muthukumar, Sumathi [1 ]
Chinnadurai, Veeramani [2 ]
Balakumar, Abilasha [3 ]
机构
[1] PSG Coll Technol, Dept Math, Coimbatore, India
[2] PSG Coll Technol, Dept Appl Sci Math, Coimbatore, India
[3] PSG Coll Technol, Dept Appl Math & Computat Sci, Coimbatore, India
关键词
Mathematical Model; COVID-19; Epidemic spread; Stability; Optimal control strategy; MODEL;
D O I
10.1007/s12597-024-00795-9
中图分类号
C93 [管理学]; O22 [运筹学];
学科分类号
070105 ; 12 ; 1201 ; 1202 ; 120202 ;
摘要
The COVID-19 pandemic has rapidly spread worldwide, leading to devastating consequences for public health, the global economy, and society as a whole. This research paper provides a comprehensive review of the dynamics and control strategies employed to combat the transmission of COVID-19. Our approach involves developing a classic SEIQR model, specifically tailored to the context of India. In our analysis, we take into account both two susceptible states and the impact of quarantine measures to better understand the intricate dynamics of the virus's transmission. We employ the next-generation matrix method to calculate the reproduction number to evaluate the extent of the virus's spread. We also statistically validate the stability results by utilizing the reproduction number and further analyze global stability through analytical methods and numerical simulations. In addition, we perform an optimal control analysis. This analysis utilizes four control parameters to investigate the impact of implementing control measures on the number of infected and exposed individuals. We examine the impacts of adjusting these control parameters by investigating how the number of infected and exposed individuals changes when we increase or decrease them. We compare scenarios with and without control measures to analyze the differences. We compared the results of the proposed model to the previous study and found that it effectively reduces the number of infections.
引用
收藏
页数:19
相关论文
共 31 条
[11]   An Extended SEIR Model with Vaccination for Forecasting the COVID-19 Pandemic in Saudi Arabia Using an Ensemble Kalman Filter [J].
Ghostine, Rabih ;
Gharamti, Mohamad ;
Hassrouny, Sally ;
Hoteit, Ibrahim .
MATHEMATICS, 2021, 9 (06)
[12]   Analysis of the fractional order dengue transmission model: a case study in Malaysia [J].
Hamdan, Nur 'Izzati ;
Kilicman, Adem .
ADVANCES IN DIFFERENCE EQUATIONS, 2019,
[13]  
Iboi EA, 2020, medRxiv, DOI [10.1101/2020.05.22.20110387, 10.1101/2020.05.22.20110387, DOI 10.1101/2020.05.22.20110387]
[14]   Stability analysis and optimal control of an SIR epidemic model with vaccination [J].
Kar, T. K. ;
Batabyal, Ashim .
BIOSYSTEMS, 2011, 104 (2-3) :127-135
[15]   Optimal control analysis of COVID-19 vaccine epidemic model: a case study [J].
Khan, Arshad Alam ;
Ullah, Saif ;
Amin, Rohul .
EUROPEAN PHYSICAL JOURNAL PLUS, 2022, 137 (01)
[16]   Numerical investigations on COVID-19 model through singular and non-singular fractional operators [J].
Kumar, Sunil ;
Chauhan, R. P. ;
Momani, Shaher ;
Hadid, Samir .
NUMERICAL METHODS FOR PARTIAL DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS, 2024, 40 (01)
[17]   Early Transmission Dynamics in Wuhan, China, of Novel Coronavirus-Infected Pneumonia [J].
Li, Qun ;
Guan, Xuhua ;
Wu, Peng ;
Wang, Xiaoye ;
Zhou, Lei ;
Tong, Yeqing ;
Ren, Ruiqi ;
Leung, Kathy S. M. ;
Lau, Eric H. Y. ;
Wong, Jessica Y. ;
Xing, Xuesen ;
Xiang, Nijuan ;
Wu, Yang ;
Li, Chao ;
Chen, Qi ;
Li, Dan ;
Liu, Tian ;
Zhao, Jing ;
Liu, Man ;
Tu, Wenxiao ;
Chen, Chuding ;
Jin, Lianmei ;
Yang, Rui ;
Wang, Qi ;
Zhou, Suhua ;
Wang, Rui ;
Liu, Hui ;
Luo, Yinbo ;
Liu, Yuan ;
Shao, Ge ;
Li, Huan ;
Tao, Zhongfa ;
Yang, Yang ;
Deng, Zhiqiang ;
Liu, Boxi ;
Ma, Zhitao ;
Zhang, Yanping ;
Shi, Guoqing ;
Lam, Tommy T. Y. ;
Wu, Joseph T. ;
Gao, George F. ;
Cowling, Benjamin J. ;
Yang, Bo ;
Leung, Gabriel M. ;
Feng, Zijian .
NEW ENGLAND JOURNAL OF MEDICINE, 2020, 382 (13) :1199-1207
[18]   A conceptual model for the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak in Wuhan, China with individual reaction and governmental action [J].
Lin, Qianying ;
Zhao, Shi ;
Gao, Daozhou ;
Lou, Yijun ;
Yang, Shu ;
Musa, Salihu S. ;
Wang, Maggie H. ;
Cai, Yongli ;
Wang, Weiming ;
Yang, Lin ;
He, Daihai .
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INFECTIOUS DISEASES, 2020, 93 :211-216
[19]   SEIQRS model for the transmission of malicious objects in computer network [J].
Mishra, Bimal Kumar ;
Jha, Navnit .
APPLIED MATHEMATICAL MODELLING, 2010, 34 (03) :710-715
[20]   Optimal Control of Malware Spreading Model with Tracing and Patching in Wireless Sensor Networks [J].
Muthukrishnan, Senthilkumar ;
Muthukumar, Sumathi ;
Chinnadurai, Veeramani .
WIRELESS PERSONAL COMMUNICATIONS, 2021, 117 (03) :2061-2083