How resilient was trade to COVID-19?

被引:10
作者
Bas, Maria [1 ]
Fernandes, Ana [2 ]
Paunov, Caroline [3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Paris 01, CES, Paris, France
[2] World Bank, Washington, DC 20433 USA
[3] OECD, Paris, France
关键词
Exports; Vulnerability; Resilience; COVID-19; Shock; High-frequency data;
D O I
10.1016/j.econlet.2023.111080
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We provide stylized facts on the short-run resilience of exports to the COVID-19 pandemic across product characteristics. Relying on global monthly product-level exports to the United States, Japan, and the 27 European Union countries from January 2018 to December 2021, we show that products with a higher reliance on China or few countries as input suppliers saw stronger declines in exports as a result of the COVID-19 shock while those with more automated production processes saw exports increase. Our analysis also shows that product characteristics played different roles mediating export responses at different stages of the 2020-2021 COVID-19 crisis. We document rapid reductions in vulnerabilities for exports of unskilled-intensive production. Reliance on diversified inputs from abroad progressively contributed to resilience following an initial negative role when trade was severely disrupted globally.
引用
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页数:6
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