An assessment of climate change impacts on oases in northern Africa

被引：6

作者：

Filho, Walter Leal ^{[1
,2
]}

Stojanov, Robert ^{[3
]}

Matsoukas, Christos ^{[4
]}

Ingrosso, Roberto ^{[5
,6
]}

Franke, James A. ^{[7
]}

Pausata, Francesco S. R. ^{[5
,6
]}

Grassi, Tommaso ^{[8
]}

Landa, Jaromir ^{[3
]}

Harrouni, Cherif ^{[9
]}

机构：

[1] Hamburg Univ Appl Sci, Res & Transfer Ctr Climate Change & Sustainable D, Int Climate Change Informat & Res Programme, Ulmenliet 20, D-21033 Hamburg, Germany

[2] Manchester Metropolitan Univ, Dept Nat Sci, Chester St, Manchester M1 5GD, England

[3] Mendel Univ Brno, Fac Business & Econ, Dept Informat, Spatial Hub, Zemedelska1, Brno 61300, Czech Republic

[4] Univ Aegean, Dept Environm, Mitilini 81100, Greece

[5] Univ Quebec Montreal, Ctr ESCER Ctr Etud & Simulat Climat Echelle Reg, 201 Ave President Kennedy, Montreal, PQ H2X 3Y7, Canada

[6] Univ Quebec Montreal, GEOTOP Res Ctr Dynam Earth Syst, Dept Earth & Atmospher Sci, 201 Ave President Kennedy, Montreal, PQ H2X 3Y7, Canada

[7] Toyota Technol Inst Chicago, 6045 S Kenwood Ave, Chicago, IL 60637 USA

[8] Max Planck Inst Extraterr Phys, Giessenbachstr 1, D-85748 Garching, Germany

[9] Hassan 2nd Inst Agron & Vet Med, Dept Landscape Architecture & Environm, Agadir Campus, Ait Melloul, Morocco

来源：

ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS | 2024年 / 166卷

关键词：

Climate change; Groundwater; Northern Africa; Oases; Water shortages; DATA DRYLANDS APPLICATION; AMTOUDI OASIS; EVAPORATION; MODEL;

D O I：

10.1016/j.ecolind.2024.112287

中图分类号：

X176 [生物多样性保护];

学科分类号：

090705 ;

摘要：

Oases are vulnerable ecosystems that are affected by climate change. Using high-resolution climate models focusing on northern Africa, we investigate the changes in the agrosystems of oases. Projected air temperature changes under an extreme global warming scenario are statistically significant for all oases studied, with an increase of up to 4-4.5 degrees C by the end of the century. The impact of the projected warming is likely to lead to an increased groundwater demand, with a parallel trend in reduced precipitation. Combined, these processes endanger the long-term socio-economic prospect of oases.

引用

页数：6

共 30 条

[1] A feasible methodology for groundwater resource modelling for sustainable use in sparse-data drylands: Application to the Amtoudi Oasis in the northern Sahara [J].