Simulation and Regulation of High-Quality Economic Development Based on System Dynamics and DPSIR Model

被引:0
|
作者
Fu, Guomei [1 ]
Tang, Jiafu [1 ]
机构
[1] Dongbei Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Management Sci & Engn, Dalian 116025, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
HQED; DPSIR; system dynamics; simulation modeling; regulation;
D O I
10.3390/su16146130
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
The key to promoting high-quality economic development (HQED) is to identify the influencing factors and the complex relationships among them. Under the guidance of China's new development concept, we systematically analyze the factors influencing the HQED based on the DPSIR (Driver-Pressure-State-Impact-Response) model. We also establish a system dynamics model and adopt Vensim PLE x64 software to simulate the impact of dynamic changes on HQED, which include innovation, coordination, green, openness, sharing systems, and their combinations. The results show that increasing green investment is the most effective, followed by enhancing regional coordination, enhancing foreign trade, and improving human capital. Among the studied factors, improving livelihood is the weakest. For multiple policy scenarios, the balanced scenario is the most efficient, followed by the environment-oriented, and the weakest is the openness-oriented scenario. Interestingly, combined policies are also more effective than single policies, which does not always apply. Furthermore, the effect of the policy combination is more obvious with the strengthening of the implementation intensity, which is important for policymakers.
引用
收藏
页数:18
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