Identification of predictive markers of Pneumocystis jirovecii pneumonia in kidney transplant recipients

Background: Kidney transplantation has emerged as the most effective treatment for patients with uremia. Advances in immunosuppressant medications have significantly reduced the risk of rejection. However, a notable increase in opportunistic infections, such as Pneumocystis jirovecii pneumonia (PJP), demands special attention in clinical practice. Our study aims to evaluate risk factors and identify predictive markers associated with PJP in kidney transplantation recipients. Methods: We conducted a case-control study (1:2 ratio) involving kidney transplant recipients with and without PJP, matched based on the same surgical date. The study was carried out at Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University, China. Results: Ninety-three participants were enrolled at Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University, comprising 31 with PJP and 62 without PJP. All patients tested negative for HIV. Our findings indicate that PJP patients exhibited lower levels of serum albumin (P = 0.001), reduced counts of total and CD3(+) (P < 0.001), CD4(+) (P = 0.001), and CD8(+) T lymphocytes (P < 0.001), and a lower rate of prophylactic trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole (TMP-SMZ) usage compared to non-PJP patients (P = 0.02). Conversely, urea levels in PJP patients were significantly higher than in non-PJP controls (P < 0.001). We developed a model combining CD8(+) T cell count (< 241.11/mu L, P < 0.001) and ALB levels (< 35.2 g/L, P = 0.003), which demonstrated excellent discriminatory power in distinguishing PJP from non-PJP cases, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0. 920 (95% CI, 0.856-0.989). Conclusions: Our study suggests that a baseline CD8(+) T cell count (< 241.11/mu L) and serum ALB levels (< 35.2 g/L) offer robust predictive value for the occurrence of PJP infections in kidney transplant recipients.