AutoGluon-TimeSeries: AutoML for Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting

被引:0
|
作者
Shchur, Oleksandr [1 ]
Turkmen, Caner [1 ]
Erickson, Nick [1 ]
Shen, Huibin [2 ]
Shirkov, Alexander [1 ]
Hu, Tony [1 ]
Wang, Yuyang [2 ]
机构
[1] Amazon Web Serv, Seattle, WA 98109 USA
[2] AWS AI Labs, Seattle, WA USA
来源
INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON AUTOMATED MACHINE LEARNING, VOL 224 | 2023年 / 224卷
关键词
EFFICIENT;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
We introduce AutoGluon-TimeSeries-an open-source AutoML library for probabilistic time series forecasting.(1) Focused on ease of use and robustness, AutoGluon-TimeSeries enables users to generate accurate point and quantile forecasts with just 3 lines of Python code. Built on the design philosophy of AutoGluon, AutoGluon-TimeSeries leverages ensembles of diverse forecasting models to deliver high accuracy within a short training time. AutoGluon-TimeSeries combines both conventional statistical models, machine-learning based forecasting approaches, and ensembling techniques. In our evaluation on 29 benchmark datasets, AutoGluon-TimeSeries demonstrates strong empirical performance, outperforming a range of forecasting methods in terms of both point and quantile forecast accuracy, and often even improving upon the best-in-hindsight combination of prior methods.
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页数:21
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