Limit-hitting exciting effects: Modeling jump dependencies in stock markets adhering to daily price-limit rules

被引:1
|
作者
Chen, Jian [1 ]
Qi, Shuyuan [2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Sussex, Business Sch, Brighton BN1 9SL, England
[2] Cent Univ Finance & Econ, Chinese Acad Finance & Dev, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China
关键词
Price limits; Jump clustering; Bayesian inference; Hawkes process; Stochastic volatility; INVESTOR SENTIMENT; STOCHASTIC VOLATILITY; CROSS-SECTION; RETURNS; RISK; NEWS; PERFORMANCE; CRASHES; SPECTRA; IMPACT;
D O I
10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107184
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
Price limits are widely implemented in stock markets worldwide; however, they are rarely considered in financial models. In this study, we propose a model specifically designed for asset prices that adhere to daily price -limit mechanisms. Our model captures the interdependence among limit -hitting events and other small price jumps by using a multivariate mutually -exciting point process. It is applicable to any stock market with a multi -layer price limit mechanism. By analyzing data from all publicly listed A -share stocks in China from 2007 to 2021, we demonstrate that our model outperforms other classic models in terms of goodness of fit. Additionally, we find that limit -hitting jumps, as opposed to inconspicuous small price jumps, have a higher propensity to attract investors' attention and result in subsequent price jumps. We further construct a clustering index based on the model parameters and investigate its determinants.
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页数:15
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