Research on Early Warning of Transmission of Tuberculosis Infectious Diseases from the Perspective of Social Factors

被引:0
作者
Zhu, Miao [1 ]
Li, Xiyi [1 ]
Zhang, Xingyue [1 ]
Dong, Xiaoyu [1 ]
机构
[1] Huaqiao Univ, Sch Stat, 668 Jimei Ave, Xiamen 361021, Fujian, Peoples R China
关键词
bond percolation model; tuberculosis; epidemic network; SEIR model;
D O I
10.20965/jaciii.2024.p0739
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
In this study, the infiltration model was established to study the early warning of pulmonary tuberculosis data in Xiamen public hospitals. Based on the gender characteristics of residents in Xiamen, a percolation model was established to analyze the transmission rates of diseases under different contact types. In addition, the calculation method of the percolation threshold is discussed, and the model is verified by a simulation experiment. The results show that the model can predict the spread of epidemic situations well. The early warning value and relevant preventive measures were obtained by simulating the spread of tuberculosis under different exposure numbers. Bond percolation analysis was used to predict the proportion of the eventually infected population, this threshold of percolation was the basic regeneration number of tuberculosis, and the tuberculosis infection situation was effectively predicted.
引用
收藏
页码:739 / 745
页数:7
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