Risk assessment of offshore wind power hydrogen production based on spherical fuzzy set and cumulative prospect theory - TOPSIS

被引:1
作者
Zhao, Hui [1 ]
Hao, Xiang [1 ]
机构
[1] Qingdao Univ Technol, Sch Management Engn, Qingdao 266520, Peoples R China
关键词
Energy conversion; Spherical fuzzy set; Risk assessment; Identification of key risks; DECISION-MAKING; EXTENSION; ENERGY; FARMS;
D O I
10.1016/j.ijhydene.2024.06.015
中图分类号
O64 [物理化学(理论化学)、化学物理学];
学科分类号
070304 ; 081704 ;
摘要
With the energy revolution and the proposal of "double carbon" background, hydrogen energy with rich reserves, clean and low carbon and broad application prospects has gradually become a global hot spot. The combination of seawater hydrogen production and offshore wind power is undoubtedly the focus of research in this field. However, this new research field is not yet mature and is still in its infancy, so in order to reduce unnecessary losses, it is crucial to identify the key risks and prevent them. Secondly, the adaptability of a single model is no longer reliable for the risk assessment of this emerging field, especially the conversion from offshore wind to electric energy to hydrogen energy. Based on the above, this paper first considers the ambiguity and uncertainty of information, as well as the risk attitude of decision makers in the evaluation process, and develops a novel evaluation model. The reliability and optimization of the model are verified by sensitivity analysis and comparative analysis, and a case is introduced for practical analysis. The final results show that the key risks of hydrogen production from offshore wind power are seawater electrolysis technology, hydrogen energy storage technology and high-quality wind energy resources. The overall risk is 0.4198, which is medium risk. Decisionmaking managers can make targeted risk prevention to reduce losses and promote the stable operation of offshore wind power hydrogen production.
引用
收藏
页码:475 / 489
页数:15
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