Estimating COVID-19 R t in Real-time: An Indonesia health policy perspective

被引:3
作者
Sreeramula, Sankaraiah [1 ]
Rahardjo, Deny [1 ]
机构
[1] Sinarmas Grp, Jakarta, Indonesia
来源
MACHINE LEARNING WITH APPLICATIONS | 2021年 / 6卷
关键词
Epidemic outbreak; Coronavirus; COVID-19; Bayesian; Likelihood; Spread rate; Posterior; DENGUE OUTBREAK; MODEL;
D O I
10.1016/j.mlwa.2021.100136
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
COVID-19 (SARS COV2 n -corona virus) is the newfangled virus of the coronavirus family. COVID-19 can cause serious illness with symptoms of fever, cold, cough, and respiratory blockage. COVID-19 is a contagious virus, which originated in Wuhan, China. After one month, WHO declared it as a Pandemic due to its rapid spreading. Presently, Indonesia is also facing a hard time controlling the spread. Hence, it is essential to understand the spread rate in Indonesia and to analyze the strategies to minimize the virus spread. The proposed study can be used to assess variations in virus spread both nationally, and sub -nationally. This allows public health officials and policy -makers to track the progress of the outbreak in near real-time using an epidemiologically valid measure.
引用
收藏
页数:8
相关论文
共 23 条
  • [1] Data mining techniques for predicting dengue outbreak in geospatial domain using weather parameters for New Delhi, India
    Agarwal, Nikita
    Koti, Shiva Reddy
    Saran, Sameer
    Kumar, A. Senthil
    [J]. CURRENT SCIENCE, 2018, 114 (11): : 2281 - 2291
  • [2] The Norovirus Epidemiologic Triad: Predictors of Severe Outcomes in US Norovirus Outbreaks, 2009-2016
    Burke, Rachel M.
    Shah, Minesh P.
    Wikswo, Mary E.
    Barclay, Leslie
    Kambhampati, Anita
    Marsh, Zachary
    Cannon, Jennifer L.
    Parashar, Umesh D.
    Vinje, Jan
    Hall, Aron J.
    [J]. JOURNAL OF INFECTIOUS DISEASES, 2019, 219 (09) : 1364 - 1372
  • [3] Consensus and conflict among ecological forecasts of Zika virus outbreaks in the United States
    Carlson, Colin J.
    Dougherty, Eric
    Boots, Mike
    Getz, Wayne
    Ryan, Sadie J.
    [J]. SCIENTIFIC REPORTS, 2018, 8
  • [4] Development of genetic programming-based model for predicting oyster norovirus outbreak risks
    Chenar, Shima Shamkhali
    Deng, Zhiqiang
    [J]. WATER RESEARCH, 2018, 128 : 20 - 37
  • [5] Testing predictability of disease outbreaks with a simple model of pathogen biogeography
    Dallas, Tad A.
    Carlson, Colin J.
    Poisot, Timothee
    [J]. ROYAL SOCIETY OPEN SCIENCE, 2019, 6 (11):
  • [6] A comparative study on predicting influenza outbreaks using different feature spaces: application of influenza-like illness data from Early Warning Alert and Response System in Syria
    Darwish, Ali
    Rahhal, Yasser
    Jafar, Assef
    [J]. BMC RESEARCH NOTES, 2020, 13 (01)
  • [7] Short-term forecasting of bark beetle outbreaks on two economically important conifer tree species
    de Groot, Maarten
    Ogris, Nikica
    [J]. FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT, 2019, 450
  • [8] Machine Learning for Dengue Outbreak Prediction: A Performance Evaluation of Different Prominent Classifiers
    Iqbal, Naiyar
    Islam, Mohammad
    [J]. INFORMATICA-JOURNAL OF COMPUTING AND INFORMATICS, 2019, 43 (03): : 363 - 371
  • [9] Predicting the impacts of epidemic outbreaks on global supply chains: A simulation-based analysis on the coronavirus outbreak (COVID-19/SARS-CoV-2) case
    Ivanov, Dmitry
    [J]. TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART E-LOGISTICS AND TRANSPORTATION REVIEW, 2020, 136
  • [10] Real-time predictions of the 2018-2019 Ebola virus disease outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo using Hawkes point process models
    Kelly, J. Daniel
    Park, Junhyung
    Harrigan, Ryan J.
    Hoff, Nicole A.
    Lee, Sarita D.
    Wannier, Rae
    Selo, Bernice
    Mossoko, Mathias
    Njoloko, Bathe
    Okitolonda-Wemakoy, Emile
    Mbala-Kingebeni, Placide
    Rutherford, George W.
    Smith, Thomas B.
    Ahuka-Mundeke, Steve
    Muyembe-Tamfum, Jean Jacques
    Rimoin, Anne W.
    Schoenberg, Frederic Paik
    [J]. EPIDEMICS, 2019, 28