Deep Learning Models for Bitcoin Prediction Using Hybrid Approaches with Gradient-Specific Optimization

被引:1
|
作者
Ladhari, Amina [1 ]
Boubaker, Heni [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Sousse, Inst High Commercial Studies Sousse, Econ & Quantitat Methods Dept, Econ Management & Quantitat Finance Res Lab LaREMF, Sousse 4054, Tunisia
[2] IPAG Business Sch, F-75006 Paris, France
来源
FORECASTING | 2024年 / 6卷 / 02期
关键词
cryptocurrency; Bitcoin; forecasting; machine learning; deep learning; LSTM; gradient-specific optimization; attention; ANN; dataset;
D O I
10.3390/forecast6020016
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Since cryptocurrencies are among the most extensively traded financial instruments globally, predicting their price has become a crucial topic for investors. Our dataset, which includes fluctuations in Bitcoin's hourly prices from 15 May 2018 to 19 January 2024, was gathered from Crypto Data Download. It is made up of over 50,000 hourly data points that provide a detailed view of the price behavior of Bitcoin over a five-year period. In this study, we used potent algorithms, including gradient descent, attention mechanisms, long short-term memory (LSTM), and artificial neural networks (ANNs). Furthermore, to estimate the price of Bitcoin, we first merged two deep learning algorithms, LSTM and attention mechanisms, and then combined LSTM-Attention with gradient-specific optimization to increase our model's performance. Then we integrated ANN-LSTM and included gradient-specific optimization for the same reason. Our results show that the hybrid model with gradient-specific optimization can be used to anticipate Bitcoin values with better accuracy. Indeed, the hybrid model combines the best features of both approaches, and gradient-specific optimization improves predictive performance through frequent analysis of pricing data changes.
引用
收藏
页码:279 / 295
页数:17
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] A Comparative Study of Bitcoin Price Prediction Using Deep Learning
    Ji, Suhwan
    Kim, Jongmin
    Im, Hyeonseung
    MATHEMATICS, 2019, 7 (10)
  • [2] Bitcoin price prediction using Deep Learning Algorithm
    Rizwan, Muhammad
    Narejo, Sanam
    Javed, Moazzam
    2019 13TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON MATHEMATICS, ACTUARIAL SCIENCE, COMPUTER SCIENCE AND STATISTICS (MACS-13), 2019,
  • [3] Deep learning for Bitcoin price direction prediction: models and trading strategies empirically compared
    Omole, Oluwadamilare
    Enke, David
    FINANCIAL INNOVATION, 2024, 10 (01)
  • [4] Machine Learning Models Comparison for Bitcoin Price Prediction
    Phaladisailoed, Thearasak
    Numnonda, Thanisa
    PROCEEDINGS OF 2018 THE 10TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY AND ELECTRICAL ENGINEERING (ICITEE), 2018, : 506 - 511
  • [5] A comparative analysis of Silverkite and inter-dependent deep learning models for bitcoin price prediction
    Tripathy, Nrusingha
    Nayak, Subrat Kumar
    Prusty, Sashikanta
    FRONTIERS IN BLOCKCHAIN, 2024, 7
  • [6] A comprehensive review on multiple hybrid deep learning approaches for stock prediction
    Shah, Jaimin
    Vaidya, Darsh
    Shah, Manan
    INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS WITH APPLICATIONS, 2022, 16
  • [7] Forecasting Bitcoin Prices Using Deep Learning for Consumer-Centric Industrial Applications
    Roy, Pradeep Kumar
    Kumar, Abhinav
    Singh, Ashish
    Sangaiah, Arun Kumar
    IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON CONSUMER ELECTRONICS, 2024, 70 (01) : 1351 - 1358
  • [8] Prediction of cryptocurrency prices by deep learning models: A case study for Bitcoin and Ethereum
    Mehrdoust, Farshid
    Noorani, Maryam
    INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL ENGINEERING, 2023, 10 (04)
  • [9] Bitcoin Price Prediction using Machine Learning
    Velankar, Siddhi
    Valecha, Sakshi
    Maji, Shreya
    2018 20TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON ADVANCED COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY (ICACT), 2018, : 144 - 147
  • [10] Forecasting Bitcoin Volatility Using Hybrid GARCH Models with Machine Learning
    Zahid, Mamoona
    Iqbal, Farhat
    Koutmos, Dimitrios
    RISKS, 2022, 10 (12)