Multiparametric MRI-based radiomics nomogram for the preoperative prediction of lymph node metastasis in rectal cancer: A two-center study

Purpose: To develop a radiomic nomogram based on multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging for the preoperative prediction of lymph node metastasis (LNM) in rectal cancer. Methods: This retrospective study included 318 patients with pathologically proven rectal adenocarcinoma from two hospitals. Radiomic features were extracted from T2-weighted imaging, diffusion-weighted imaging, and contrast-enhanced T1-weighted imaging scans of the training cohort, and the radsore model was then constructed. The combined model was obtained by integrating the Radscore and clinical models. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to assess the diagnostic effectiveness of each model, and the best-performing model was used to develop the nomogram. Results: The Radscore and clinical models exhibited similar diagnostic efficacy (DeLong's test, P > 0.05). The AUC of the combined model was significantly higher than those of the clinical and Radscore models in the training cohort (AUC: 0.837 vs. 0.763 and 0.787, P: 0.02120 and 0.02309) and the external validation cohort (AUC: 0.880 vs. 0.797 and 0.779, P: 0.02310 and 0.02471). However, the diagnostic performance of the three models was comparable in the internal validation cohort (P > 0.05). Thus, among the three models, the combined model exhibited the highest diagnostic efficiency. The calibration curve exhibited satisfactory consistency between the nomogram predictions and the actual results. DCA confirmed the considerable clinical usefulness of the nomogram. Conclusion: The radiomics nomogram can accurately and noninvasively predict LNM in rectal cancer before surgery, serving as a convenient visualization tool for informing treatment decisions, including the choice of surgical approach and the need for neoadjuvant therapy.