Background: Invasive lung adenocarcinoma with MPP/SOL components has a poor prognosis and often shows a tendency to recurrence and metastasis. This poor prognosis may require adjustment of treatment strategies. Preoperative identification is essential for decision-making for subsequent treatment.Objective: This study aimed to preoperatively predict the probability of MPP/SOL components in lung adenocarcinomas by a comprehensive model that includes radiomics features, clinical characteristics, and serum tumor biomarkers.Design: A retrospective case control, diagnostic accuracy study.Methods: This study retrospectively recruited 273 patients (males: females, 130: 143; mean age +/- standard deviation, 63.29 +/- 10.03 years; range 21-83 years) who underwent resection of invasive lung adenocarcinoma. Sixty-one patients (22.3%) were diagnosed with lung adenocarcinoma with MPP/SOL components. Radiomic features were extracted from CT before surgery. Clinical, radiomic, and combined models were developed using the logistic regression algorithm. The clinical and radiomic signatures were integrated into a nomogram. The diagnostic performance of the models was evaluated using the area under the curve (AUC). Studies were scored according to the Radiomics Quality Score and Transparent Reporting of a Multivariable Prediction Model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis guidelines.Results: The radiomics model achieved the best AUC values of 0.858 and 0.822 in the training and test cohort, respectively. Tumor size (T_size), solid tumor size (ST_size), consolidation-to-tumor ratio (CTR), years of smoking, CYFRA 21-1, and squamous cell carcinoma antigen were used to construct the clinical model. The clinical model achieved AUC values of 0.741 and 0.705 in the training and test cohort, respectively. The nomogram showed higher AUCs of 0.894 and 0.843 in the training and test cohort, respectively.Conclusion: This study has developed and validated a combined nomogram, a visual tool that integrates CT radiomics features with clinical indicators and serum tumor biomarkers. This innovative model facilitates the differentiation of micropapillary or solid components within lung adenocarcinoma and achieves a higher AUC, indicating superior predictive accuracy. A new tool to predict aggressive lung cancer types before surgeryWe developed a tool to help doctors determine whether lung cancer is one of the more dangerous types, called micropapillary (MPP) or solid (SOL) patterns, before surgery. These patterns can be more harmful and spread quickly, so knowing they are there can help doctors plan the best treatment. We looked at the cases of 273 lung cancer patients who had surgery and found that 61 of them had these aggressive cancer types. To predict these patterns, we used a computer process known as logistic regression, analyzing CT scan details, health information, and blood tests for cancer markers. Based on CT scans, our tool was very good at predicting whether these patterns were present in two patient groups. However, predictions using only basic health information like the size of the tumor and whether the patient smoked needed to be more accurate. We found a way to make our predictions even better. Combining all information into one chart, known as a nomogram, significantly improved our ability to predict these dangerous cancer patterns. This combined chart could be a big help for doctors. It gives them a clearer picture of the cancer's aggressiveness before surgery, which can guide them to choose the best treatment options. This approach aims to offer a better understanding of the tumor, leading to more tailored and effective treatments for patients facing lung cancer.
