Identification of Potential Blood-Based Biomarkers for Frailty by Using an Integrative Approach

Introduction: Although frailty is a geriatric syndrome that is associated with disability, hospitalization, and mortality, it can be reversible and preventable with the appropriate interventions. Additionally, as the current diagnostic criteria for frailty include only physical, psychological, cognitive, and social measurements, there is a need for promising blood-based molecular biomarkers to aid in the diagnosis of frailty. Methods: To identify candidate blood-based biomarkers that can enhance current diagnosis of frailty, we conducted a comprehensive analysis of clinical data, messenger RNA-sequencing (RNA-seq), and aging-related factors using a total of 104 older adults aged 65-90 years (61 frail subjects and 43 robust subjects) in a cross-sectional case-control study. Results: We identified two candidate biomarkers of frailty from the clinical data analysis, nine from the RNA-seq analysis, and six from the aging-related factors analysis. By using combinations of the candidate biomarkers and clinical information, we constructed risk prediction models. The best models used combinations that included skeletal muscle mass index measured by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (adjusted p = 0.026), GDF15 (adjusted p = 1.46E-03), adiponectin (adjusted p = 0.012), CXCL9 (adjusted p = 0.011), or apelin (adjusted p = 0.020) as the biomarker. These models achieved a high area under the curve of 0.95 in an independent validation cohort (95% confidence interval: 0.79-0.97). Our risk prediction models showed significantly higher areas under the curve than did models constructed using only basic clinical information (Welch's t test p < 0.001). Conclusion: All five biomarkers showed statistically significant correlations with components of the frailty diagnostic criteria. We discovered several potential biomarkers for the diagnosis of frailty. Further refinement may lead to their future clinical use.