Mycophenolate Dose Reduction in Tacrolimus-based Regimens and Long-term Kidney Transplant Outcomes in Australia and New Zealand

Background. Mycophenolate dose reduction (MDR) is associated with acute rejection and transplant failure in kidney transplant recipients (KTRs). The optimal dose to prevent rejection and reduce complications remains poorly defined in tacrolimus-based regimens. Methods. We assessed adult KTRs from 2005 to 2017 initiated on mycophenolate mofetil 2 g/d, tacrolimus, and prednisolone from the Australia and New Zealand Dialysis and Transplant Registry. KTRs with rejection within the first 30 d posttransplant were excluded. The primary outcome was time to first rejection between 30 d and 2 y posttransplant. Mycophenolate dose was modeled as a time-varying covariate using Cox proportional hazards regression. Secondary outcomes included assessment of early MDR to <1.5 g/d within the first 6 mo posttransplant and subsequent patient and death-censored graft survival. Results. In the primary analysis, 3590 KTRs were included. Compared with mycophenolate dose of >= 2 g/d, both 1.0-<1.5 and <1 g/d were associated with an increased risk of rejection during the 2 y posttransplant (hazard ratio [HR] 1.67; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.29-2.16; P < 0.001 and HR 2.06; 95% CI, 1.36-3.13; P = 0.001, respectively) but not 1.5-<2 g/d (HR 1.20; 95% CI, 0.94-1.53; P = 0.14). Early MDR to <1.5 g/d occurred in 45.3% of KTRs and was an independent risk factor for death-censored graft failure (HR 1.32; 95% CI, 1.05-1.66; P = 0.016) but not death (HR 1.18; 95% CI, 0.97-1.44; P = 0.10), during a median follow-up of 5.0 (interquartile range, 2.6-8.5) y. Conclusions. Early MDR was a risk factor for subsequent rejection and graft failure in KTRs receiving contemporary tacrolimus-based regimens.