Deep Learning-Based Vehicle Speed Prediction for Ecological Adaptive Cruise Control in Urban and Highway Scenarios

In a typical car-following scenario, target vehicle speed fluctuations act as an external disturbance to the host vehicle and in turn affect its energy consumption. To control a host vehicle in an energy-efficient manner using model predictive control (MPC), and moreover, enhance the performance of an ecological adaptive cruise control (EACC) strategy, forecasting the future velocities of a target vehicle is essential. For this purpose, a deep recurrent neural network-based vehicle speed prediction using long-short term memory (LSTM) and gated recurrent units (GRU) is studied in this work. Besides these, the physics-based constant velocity ( CV) and constant acceleration (CA) models are discussed. The sequential time series data for training (e.g. speed trajectories of the target and its preceding vehicles obtained through vehicle-to-vehicle (V2V) communication, road speed limits, traffic light current and future phases collected using vehicle-to-infrastructure (V2I) communication) is gathered from both urban and highway networks created in the microscopic traffic simulator SUMO. The proposed speed prediction models are evaluated for long-term predictions (up to 10 s) of target vehicle future velocities. Moreover, the results revealed that the LSTM-based speed predictor outperformed other models in terms of achieving better prediction accuracy on unseen test datasets, and thereby showcasing better generalization ability. Furthermore, the performance of EACC-equipped host car on the predicted velocities is evaluated, and its energy-saving benefits for different prediction horizons are presented. Copyright (C) 2023 The Authors.