SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS AND OPTIMAL COUNTERMEASURES CONTROL OF MODEL OF THE SPREAD OF COVID-19 CO-INFECTION WITH HIV/AIDS

被引:0
作者
Nainggolan, Jonner [1 ]
Harianto, Joko [1 ]
Ansori, Moch Fandi [2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Cenderawasih, Fac Math & Nat Sci, Dept Math, Jayapura 99224, Indonesia
[2] Univ Diponegoro, Fac Sci & Math, Dept Math, Semarang 50275, Indonesia
关键词
COVID-HIV/AIDS co-infection; equilibrium points; the basic reproduction number; sensitivity analysis; optimal control;
D O I
10.28919/cmbn/8161
中图分类号
TP [自动化技术、计算机技术];
学科分类号
0812 ;
摘要
This paper analyzes and examines the optimal control in the co-infection of COVID-19 with HIV/AIDS by providing preventive and treatment control measures. The population is divided into eight subpopulations. The preventive control of COVID-19 is denoted by u(1). The preventive control of HIV/AIDS is denoted by u(2). The treatment control of COVID-19 is denoted by u(3), and the treatment control of COVID-19 for the subpopulation co-infected with HIV/AIDS is denoted by u(4). Based on the model analysis, non-endemic and endemic equilibrium points are obtained, along with the basic reproduction number of the COVID-19, HIV/AIDS, and COVID-19-HIV/AIDS sub-models. Numerical simulations reveal that using preventive control u(1) is more effective in reducing the spread of COVID-19 compared to u(3) or u(4), both individually and together. Preventive control u(2) is more effective in controlling the spread of HIV/AIDS compared to the absence of control. The sensitivity analysis of parameter identifies parameters that significantly affect the reduction or increase in the spread of COVID-19- HIV/AIDS co-infection. We found that in order to reduce the co-infection's spread, we should pay attention to the reducing the contact rate of HIV/AIDS patients or increasing their treatment rate.
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页数:25
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